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Serie B
Referee: Niccolo Turrini
Sampdoria
T U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Frosinone
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
13%
50%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
11 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 18. · Frosinone 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Modena 9 6 3 0 +11 21
2 Palermo 8 4 4 0 +6 16
3 Frosinone 8 4 2 2 +5 14
4 Cesena 8 4 2 2 +2 14
5 Monza 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Venezia 8 3 4 1 +5 13
7 Juve Stabia 8 3 4 1 +2 13
8 Reggiana 8 3 3 2 +2 12
9 Avellino 8 3 3 2 +0 12
10 Carrarese 8 2 5 1 +4 11
11 Padova 8 3 2 3 -1 11
12 Sudtirol 8 2 4 2 +1 10
13 Empoli 9 2 4 3 -4 10
14 Virtus Entella 8 2 3 3 -2 9
15 Catanzaro 8 0 6 2 -2 6
16 Pescara 8 1 3 4 -3 6
17 Bari 8 1 3 4 -7 6
18 Sampdoria 8 1 2 5 -5 5
19 Mantova 8 1 2 5 -8 5
20 Spezia 8 0 3 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Frosinone
22′
🟨 Anthony Oyono
N. Ioannou 🔁
↦ F. Depaoli
29′
38′
M. Zilli 0–1
G. Calo
Half-time 0–1
L. Benedetti 🔁
↦ A. Riccio
46′
Luigi Cherubini ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
49′
58′
🟨 Jacopo Gelli
M. Cuni 🔁
↦ A. Barak
61′
M. Ricci 🔁
↦ L. Venuti
61′
66′
🔁 J. Oyono
↦ A. Oyono
67′
🔁 A. Raimondo
↦ M. Zilli
1–1 M. Coda
N. Ioannou
69′
Leonardo Benedetti ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
76′
77′
🔁 E. Vergani
↦ F. Ghedjemis
D. Hadzikadunic 🔁
↦ A. Ferrari
83′
85′
🟨 Edoardo Vergani
88′
🔁 G. Cittadini
↦ G. Bracaglia
88′
🔁 N. Corrado
↦ G. Kvernadze
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sampdoria

3-4-2-1
1 S. Ghidotti G
5 A. Riccio D
25 A. Ferrari D
18 L. Venuti D
23 F. Depaoli M
28 O. Abildgaard M
16 L. Henderson M
21 S. Giordano M
72 A. Barak F
10 L. Cherubini F
9 M. Coda F
Bench (12)
30 N. Ravaglia
3 A. Coubis
4 J. Ferri
7 M. Cuni
8 M. Ricci
14 A. Bellemo
17 D. Hadzikadunic
31 S. Vulikic
33 F. Conti
44 N. Ioannou
70 V. Narro
80 L. Benedetti

Coach: Massimo Donati

Frosinone

4-3-3
22 L. Palmisani G
20 A. Oyono D
6 J. Gelli D
3 G. Calvani D
79 G. Bracaglia D
16 M. Cichella M
8 I. Koutsoupias M
14 G. Calo M
7 F. Ghedjemis F
28 M. Zilli F
17 G. Kvernadze F
Bench (12)
1 A. Sherri
75 M. Pisseri
2 G. Cittadini
9 A. Raimondo
18 F. Grosso
19 N. Corrado
21 J. Oyono
24 A. Ndow
27 A. Raychev
59 V. Hegelund
77 D. Dixon
90 E. Vergani

Coach: Massimiliano Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U ✓
3,14
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.