Serie B
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bari
Cesena
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Frosinone
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | +2.6 | 21 |
| 2 |
Modena
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +10 | +0.4 | 21 |
| 3 |
Monza
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | +1.2 | 20 |
| 4 |
Cesena
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +4 | +0.8 | 20 |
| 5 |
Palermo
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | -1.2 | 19 |
| 6 |
Venezia
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +7 | – | 16 |
| 7 |
Avellino
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -3 | +0.2 | 16 |
| 8 |
Reggiana
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +0 | -0.4 | 15 |
| 9 |
Carrarese
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +2 | -0.8 | 14 |
| 10 |
Juve Stabia
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +2 | – | 14 |
| 11 |
Padova
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | – | 14 |
| 12 |
Virtus Entella
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 | -2.6 | 13 |
| 13 |
Catanzaro
|
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +1 | – | 12 |
| 14 |
Sudtirol
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | – | 11 |
| 15 |
Empoli
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | -0.7 | 11 |
| 16 |
Bari
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | – | 9 |
| 17 |
Pescara
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -8 | -0.2 | 8 |
| 18 |
Spezia
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -4 | – | 7 |
| 19 |
Sampdoria
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -5 | +0.7 | 7 |
| 20 |
Mantova
|
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | – | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Meroni
D
D. Nikolaou
D
L. Dickmann
M
M. Dorval
M
G. Moncini
F
Coach: Fabio Caserta
A. Ciofi
D
M. Mangraviti
D
R. Ciervo
M
T. Berti
M
M. Francesconi
M
G. Frabotta
M
J. Blesa
F
C. Shpendi
F
Coach: Michele Mignani
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bari
Mantova
Reggiana
Bari
Bari
Padova
Virtus Entella
Bari
Bari
Sampdoria
Francesco Fourneau · 14 kamper i vår database
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.