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Serie B

Referee: A Giua

Cesena

T T T U S

1–1

Full-time

Bari

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 32%

36%

27%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

45%

27%

Both score Ø 50%

55%

45%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%

10 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cesena 9. · Bari 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	23	16	4	3	+26	52
2	Spezia	23	12	9	2	+21	45
3	Pisa	22	13	6	3	+16	45
4	Cremonese	22	10	6	6	+10	36
5	Palermo	22	8	6	8	+4	30
6	Juve Stabia	22	7	9	6	-2	30
7	Catanzaro	22	5	14	3	+4	29
8	Bari	22	6	11	5	+4	29
9	Cesena	22	8	5	9	+0	29
10	Mantova	22	6	9	7	-3	27
11	Carrarese	22	7	6	9	-7	27
12	Modena	22	5	11	6	-1	26
13	Brescia	22	5	10	7	-3	25
14	Reggiana	22	6	7	9	-3	25
15	Cittadella	22	6	7	9	-13	25
16	Cosenza	22	4	10	8	-6	22
17	Sampdoria	22	4	9	9	-8	21
18	Salernitana	22	5	6	11	-10	21
19	Frosinone	22	4	9	9	-13	21
20	Sudtirol	22	5	4	13	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	11	9	1	1	+18	28
2	Spezia	11	8	3	0	+15	27
3	Pisa	11	8	3	0	+14	27
4	Cesena	11	6	3	2	+6	21
5	Carrarese	11	6	3	2	+4	21
6	Catanzaro	12	4	6	2	+5	18
7	Palermo	11	5	3	3	+5	18
8	Bari	12	4	6	2	+3	18
9	Mantova	10	5	3	2	+3	18
10	Modena	11	4	5	2	+4	17
11	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+0	16
12	Salernitana	12	4	3	5	-1	15
13	Juve Stabia	10	4	3	3	-1	15
14	Brescia	11	3	5	3	+1	14
15	Reggiana	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Cittadella	11	2	6	3	-1	12
17	Cosenza	11	2	6	3	-2	12
18	Frosinone	11	2	5	4	-5	11
19	Sampdoria	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Sudtirol	11	2	3	6	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	12	7	3	2	+8	24
2	Cremonese	11	6	2	3	+10	20
3	Spezia	12	4	6	2	+6	18
4	Pisa	11	5	3	3	+2	18
5	Juve Stabia	12	3	6	3	-1	15
6	Cittadella	11	4	1	6	-12	13
7	Palermo	11	3	3	5	-1	12
8	Reggiana	11	3	3	5	-2	12
9	Bari	10	2	5	3	+1	11
10	Catanzaro	10	1	8	1	-1	11
11	Brescia	11	2	5	4	-4	11
12	Sampdoria	11	2	5	4	-5	11
13	Cosenza	11	2	4	5	-4	10
14	Sudtirol	11	3	1	7	-8	10
15	Frosinone	11	2	4	5	-8	10
16	Modena	11	1	6	4	-5	9
17	Mantova	12	1	6	5	-6	9
18	Cesena	11	2	2	7	-6	8
19	Salernitana	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Carrarese	11	1	3	7	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.