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Serie B
Referee: Andrea Zanotti
Sudtirol
U S U T U
0–1
Full-time
Cesena
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Cesena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 94%
88%
100%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 12. · Cesena 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Modena 9 6 3 0 +11 21
2 Palermo 8 4 4 0 +6 16
3 Frosinone 8 4 2 2 +5 14
4 Cesena 8 4 2 2 +2 14
5 Monza 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Venezia 8 3 4 1 +5 13
7 Juve Stabia 8 3 4 1 +2 13
8 Reggiana 8 3 3 2 +2 12
9 Avellino 8 3 3 2 +0 12
10 Carrarese 8 2 5 1 +4 11
11 Padova 8 3 2 3 -1 11
12 Sudtirol 8 2 4 2 +1 10
13 Empoli 9 2 4 3 -4 10
14 Virtus Entella 8 2 3 3 -2 9
15 Catanzaro 8 0 6 2 -2 6
16 Pescara 8 1 3 4 -3 6
17 Bari 8 1 3 4 -7 6
18 Sampdoria 8 1 2 5 -5 5
19 Mantova 8 1 2 5 -8 5
20 Spezia 8 0 3 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Cesena
Filipe Bordon 🟨
24′
31′
C. Shpendi 0–1
T. Berti
34′
🟨 Massimiliano Mangraviti
Half-time 0–1
M. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ J. Martini
46′
F. Davi 🔁
↦ H. El Kaouakibi
46′
A. Masiello 🔁
↦ F. Bordon
55′
K. Zedadka 🔁
↦ S. Davi
62′
66′
🔁 M. Olivieri
↦ C. Shpendi
73′
🔁 E. Adamo
↦ R. Ciervo
73′
🔁 M. Guidi
↦ T. Berti
J. Italeng 🔁
↦ R. Odogwu
78′
Federico Davi 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 R. Celia
↦ G. Frabotta
80′
🔁 S. Balde
↦ J. Blesa
93′
🟨 Marco Olivieri
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-5-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
94 H. El Kaouakibi D
3 F. Bordon
28 R. Kofler D
79 S. Molina M
6 J. Martini M
18 S. Tronchin M
17 D. Casiraghi M
24 S. Davi M
33 S. Merkaj F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
31 M. Adamonis
4 D. Mancini
5 A. Masiello
7 K. Zedadka
8 A. Mallamo
9 E. Pecorino
11 J. Italeng
14 M. Coulibaly
21 F. Tait
23 F. Davi
34 F. Veseli
46 D. Brik

Coach: Fabrizio Castori

Cesena

3-5-2
33 J. Klinsmann G
15 A. Ciofi D
19 G. Zaro D
24 M. Mangraviti D
11 R. Ciervo M
70 M. Francesconi M
4 M. Castagnetti M
14 T. Berti M
99 G. Frabotta M
9 C. Shpendi F
7 J. Blesa F
Bench (11)
39 N. Fontana
40 L. Ferretti
6 T. Arrigoni
13 R. Celia
16 P. Amoran
17 E. Adamo
18 M. Guidi
26 M. Piacentini
29 S. Balde
32 M. Olivieri
43 F. Bertaccini

Coach: Michele Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U
3,08
B ✓
2,53
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andrea Zanotti · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.