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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

Livingston

U T T U T

1–2

Full-time

Motherwell

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — Premiership · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 12%

11%

13%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

78%

50%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

11 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 9

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

0 Corners 3

6 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Livingston 12. · Motherwell 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	8	7	1	0	+13	+0.8	22
2	Celtic	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.5	17
3	Falkirk	9	3	3	3	-3	-0.7	12
4	Hibernian	8	2	5	1	+4	+1.1	11
5	Dundee United	8	2	4	2	+1	-1.0	10
6	Kilmarnock	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.1	10
7	Rangers	8	1	6	1	-1	-0.9	9
8	St Mirren	8	2	3	3	-2	-1.5	9
9	Dundee	10	2	3	5	-6	-2.0	9
10	Motherwell	8	1	5	2	+0	+1.8	8
11	Aberdeen	8	2	1	5	-4	-0.6	7
12	Livingston	9	1	3	5	-8	+0.6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	3	1	0	+6	-0.1	10
2	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
3	Dundee	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.8	7
4	Hibernian	4	1	3	0	+4	+0.3	6
5	Falkirk	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.1	6
6	Motherwell	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.0	5
7	St Mirren	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
8	Kilmarnock	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.2	5
9	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.7	4
10	Dundee United	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
11	Livingston	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.8	3
12	Rangers	4	0	3	1	-2	+1.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	4	0	0	+7	+0.9	12
2	Celtic	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.7	7
3	Dundee United	4	1	3	0	+2	-0.1	6
4	Rangers	4	1	3	0	+1	-2.0	6
5	Falkirk	4	2	0	2	-3	-0.8	6
6	Kilmarnock	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.3	5
7	Hibernian	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.8	5
8	St Mirren	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.8	4
9	Motherwell	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.2	3
10	Aberdeen	4	1	0	3	-5	+0.1	3
11	Livingston	6	0	3	3	-8	-0.2	3
12	Dundee	5	0	2	3	-6	-1.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.