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Pro League

Referee: Anthony Letellier

Westerlo

T S U T U

1–1

Full-time

Dender

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,0

0,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

63%

44%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

4,0

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,4

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,97 xG 1,76

62% Possession 38%

23 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Westerlo 12. · Dender 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	6	2	0	+14	+11.3	20
2	Club Brugge	7	5	1	1	+5	+3.1	16
3	Waregem	10	5	1	4	+3	-1.8	16
4	Anderlecht	9	4	3	2	+6	+6.2	15
5	Gent	6	5	0	1	+5	+2.1	15
6	Mechelen	8	4	3	1	+5	-1.5	15
7	Genk	7	3	2	2	+1	+1.1	11
8	St Truiden	7	3	2	2	+1	+4.7	11
9	RAAL La Louviere	9	3	2	4	-2	-5.8	11
10	Cercle Brugge	10	2	4	4	-1	+1.3	10
11	Charleroi	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.0	10
12	Westerlo	8	2	2	4	-4	-1.5	8
13	Antwerp	6	1	3	2	-2	-4.2	6
14	Standard	7	1	2	4	-6	-4.6	5
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	1	4	-8	-1.3	4
16	Dender	9	0	1	8	-14	-7.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+12	+7.6	12
2	Waregem	6	3	1	2	+4	+0.1	10
3	Gent	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.2	9
4	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
5	RAAL La Louviere	5	2	2	1	+0	-3.3	8
6	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.5	7
7	Charleroi	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.1	7
8	Genk	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.0	6
9	St Truiden	4	2	0	2	-1	+1.1	6
10	Antwerp	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.5	5
11	Cercle Brugge	6	1	2	3	-2	+0.4	5
12	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
13	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
14	Standard	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.4	2
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.0	1
16	Dender	4	0	0	4	-6	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+4	-2.4	11
2	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+2	+2.6	9
3	St. Gilloise	4	2	2	0	+2	+3.7	8
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.7	7
5	Gent	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.1	6
6	Waregem	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.9	6
7	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
8	Cercle Brugge	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.8	5
9	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
10	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.7	5
11	RAAL La Louviere	4	1	0	3	-2	-2.5	3
12	Standard	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.2	3
13	Charleroi	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.8	3
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
15	Antwerp	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
16	Dender	5	0	1	4	-8	-5.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.