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Super League
Referee: Meletios Gioumatzidis
Panserraikos
U U U S T
0–2
Full-time
Larisa
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panserraikos Larisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Super League · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 7%
13%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
38%
29%
Both score Ø 67%
63%
71%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panserraikos 13. · Larisa 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 7 5 2 0 +6 17
2 Olympiakos 7 5 1 1 +11 16
3 AEK 7 5 1 1 +4 16
4 Volos NFC 8 4 0 4 -1 12
5 Levadeiakos 7 3 2 2 +9 11
6 Aris Thessalonikis 7 3 2 2 -1 11
7 Aris 7 3 2 2 -1 11
8 Panetolikos 9 3 2 4 -4 11
9 Panathinaikos 7 2 4 1 +1 10
10 Kifisia 9 2 3 4 -1 9
11 OFI Crete 7 3 0 4 -2 9
12 Atromitos 8 1 3 4 -2 6
13 Panserraikos 8 1 3 4 -8 6
14 Larisa 7 0 4 3 -6 4
15 Asteras Tripolis 7 0 3 4 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U
3,22
B ✓
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.