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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Paweł Raczkowski
2–1
Full-time
Cracovia
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 44%
33%
55%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
67%
55%
Both score Ø 61%
67%
55%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 14. · Cracovia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 11 7 3 1 +10 +0.6 24
2 Gornik Zabrze 12 7 2 3 +9 -1.3 23
3 Cracovia 11 6 3 2 +8 +4.5 21
4 Wisla Plock 11 6 3 2 +7 +6.4 21
5 Korona Kielce 12 5 4 3 +5 -2.0 19
6 Lech Poznan 11 5 4 2 +2 +6.9 19
7 Zaglebie 12 4 5 3 +7 -1.0 17
8 Widzew Lodz 13 5 1 7 +0 +2.9 16
9 Legia 11 4 3 4 +2 +2.6 15
10 Radomiak Radom 12 4 3 5 +0 -0.8 15
11 Lechia Gdansk 12 4 3 5 -6 -3.0 15
12 Arka Gdynia 13 4 3 6 -11 -6.0 15
13 Rakow 11 4 2 5 -3 +0.8 14
14 Pogon Szczecin 12 4 2 6 -4 +5.4 14
15 Motor Lublin 12 3 5 4 -5 -2.5 14
16 GKS Katowice 12 3 2 7 -8 -7.0 11
17 Nieciecza 13 2 4 7 -8 -1.7 10
18 Piast Gliwice 11 1 4 6 -5 -4.8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pogon Szczecin Cracovia
29′
F. Stojilkovic 0–1
36′
🟨 Otar Kakabadze
Hussein Ali 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
M. Juwara 🔁
↦ J. Pozo
46′
56′
🟨 Mateusz Klich
56′
🔁 M. Aleksic
↦ O. Kakabadze
M. Huja 🔁
↦ H. Ali
60′
1–1 K. Grosicki
61′
Linus Wahlqvist 🟨
68′
68′
🟨 Oskar Wójcik
72′
🔁 A. Al Ammari
↦ M. Klich
73′
🔁 A. Hasic
↦ M. Minchev
P. Mukairu 🔁
↦ R. Molnar
76′
A. Przyborek 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
85′
85′
🔁 M. Praszelik
↦ M. Maigaard
85′
🔁 K. Zahiroleslam
↦ F. Stojilkovic
88′
🟨 Dominik Piła
2–1 P. Mukairu
F. Ulvestad
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-2-2
77 V. Cojocaru G
15 H. Ali D
28 L. Wahlqvist D
13 D. Keramitsis D
32 L. Koutris D
8 F. Ulvestad M
19 M. Ndiaye M
14 J. Pozo M
90 S. Greenwood M
9 R. Molnar F
11 K. Grosicki F
Bench (10)
31 K. Kaminski
2 M. Huja
17 J. Lis
4 Leo Borges
6 J. Bieganski
61 K. Smolinski
10 A. Przyborek
18 P. Mukairu
7 M. Juwara
99 K. Kostorz

Coach: Tomasz Grzegorczyk

Cracovia

3-4-3
13 S. Madejski G
21 B. Sutalo D
4 G. Henriksson D
66 O. Wojcik D
79 D. Pila M
43 M. Klich M
11 M. Maigaard M
39 M. Perkovic M
25 O. Kakabadze F
9 F. Stojilkovic F
17 M. Minchev F
Bench (10)
27 H. Ravas
61 B. Traore
19 D. Olafsson
6 A. Al Ammari
7 M. Praszelik
8 M. Aleksic
10 M. Rakoczy
20 K. Knap
18 K. Zahiroleslam
14 A. Hasic

Coach: Luka Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paweł Raczkowski · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.