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Serie B

Referee: Luca Pairetto

Catanzaro

U U U T T

1–0

Full-time

Palermo

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

38%

25%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,1

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 8

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 25

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 16. · Palermo 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	9	6	3	0	+11	21
2	Monza	9	5	2	2	+4	17
3	Cesena	9	5	2	2	+3	17
4	Palermo	8	4	4	0	+6	16
5	Frosinone	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Carrarese	9	3	5	1	+5	14
7	Venezia	9	3	4	2	+4	13
8	Juve Stabia	8	3	4	1	+2	13
9	Reggiana	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Avellino	9	3	3	3	-4	12
11	Padova	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Sudtirol	9	2	4	3	+0	10
13	Virtus Entella	9	2	4	3	-2	10
14	Empoli	9	2	4	3	-4	10
15	Pescara	9	1	4	4	-3	7
16	Catanzaro	8	0	6	2	-2	6
17	Spezia	9	1	3	5	-4	6
18	Sampdoria	9	1	3	5	-5	6
19	Bari	8	1	3	4	-7	6
20	Mantova	8	1	2	5	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Monza	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Venezia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Virtus Entella	5	2	3	0	+3	9
5	Palermo	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Reggiana	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Carrarese	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Juve Stabia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Empoli	5	1	4	0	+2	7
11	Avellino	4	2	1	1	-1	7
12	Pescara	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Sudtirol	5	2	0	3	+0	6
14	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Sampdoria	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Padova	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Mantova	4	1	1	2	-5	4
18	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-1	3
19	Cesena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Spezia	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	6	5	0	1	+4	15
2	Modena	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Frosinone	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Padova	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Carrarese	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	Spezia	4	1	2	1	+2	5
8	Monza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Juve Stabia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Avellino	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Sudtirol	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Venezia	5	0	4	1	-1	4
13	Reggiana	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Mantova	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Pescara	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Virtus Entella	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Bari	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.