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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid
Burgos
U S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Sociedad B
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Sociedad B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 31%
40%
22%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 69%
70%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 8. · Sociedad B 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 10 6 1 3 +7 19
2 Las Palmas 11 5 4 2 +5 19
3 Cadiz 10 5 3 2 +2 18
4 Ceuta 11 5 3 3 -1 -2.3 18
5 La Coruna 10 4 4 2 +7 16
6 Almeria 10 4 4 2 +2 16
7 Cordoba 11 4 4 3 +0 16
8 Burgos 10 4 3 3 +5 +3.1 15
9 Valladolid 10 4 3 3 +3 +2.3 15
10 Leganes 11 3 6 2 +3 15
11 Andorra 10 4 3 3 +0 15
12 Sp Gijon 10 5 0 5 -1 15
13 Huesca 10 4 2 4 -3 14
14 Eibar 11 3 4 4 +1 13
15 Albacete 11 3 4 4 -3 13
16 Castellon 10 3 3 4 +0 12
17 Cultural Leonesa 11 3 2 6 -2 -3.1 11
18 Malaga 10 3 2 5 -3 11
19 Granada 10 2 4 4 -4 10
20 Sociedad B 9 2 3 4 -2 9
21 Mirandes 10 2 3 5 -5 9
22 Zaragoza 10 1 3 6 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Sociedad B
22′
🟨 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Florian Miguel 🟨
32′
Iván Morante 🟨
42′
42′
🟨 Mikel Rodriguez
Half-time 0–0
Aitor Córdoba 🟨
57′
K. Appin 🔁
↦ I. Cordoba
60′
B. Martinez 🔁
↦ F. Miguel
60′
65′
🟨 Jon Garro
S. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ Curro
71′
M. Mejia 🔁
↦ I. Morante
71′
71′
🔁 G. Gorosabel
↦ M. Rodriguez
71′
🔁 J. Eceizabarrena
↦ A. Mariezkurrena
Grego Sierra 🟨
73′
78′
🔁 A. Dadie Izagirre
↦ J. Garro
David González ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
82′
1–0 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
84′
85′
🔁 D. Diaz
↦ L. Astiazaran
85′
🔁 S. Osazuwa
↦ K. Kita
M. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ F. Nino
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 A. Cantero G
2 A. Lizancos D
18 A. Cordoba D
8 G. Sierra D
12 F. Miguel D
5 M. Atienza M
23 I. Morante M
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros M
16 Curro M
21 I. Cordoba M
9 F. Nino F
Bench (12)
1 J. Ruiz
6 S. Gonzalez
7 M. Mejia
10 K. Appin
15 A. Bunuel
17 M. Cantero
20 M. Gonzalez
22 B. Martinez
28 S. del Cerro
31 F. Garcia
32 E. Ventosa
35 D. Gonzalez

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis Monfort

Sociedad B

4-4-2
1 A. Fraga G
29 J. Garro D
4 L. Beitia D
5 P. Rodriguez D
15 K. Kita D
17 L. Astiazaran M
14 T. Carbonell M
8 M. Rodriguez
3 J. Balda M
18 G. Carrera F
10 A. Mariezkurrena F
Bench (12)
13 E. Arana
7 D. Diaz
11 J. Ochieng
16 G. Gorosabel
19 A. Marchal
20 S. Osazuwa
22 A. Dadie Izagirre
23 U. Agote
26 D. Ramirez
30 J. Eceizabarrena
31 I. Aguirre
37 I. Calderon

Coach: Jon Ansotegi Gorostola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,28
B
4,88
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.