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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Makkelie

Volendam

T T S T T

3–0

Full-time

Heracles

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,8

2,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 11%

11%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

67%

89%

Both score Ø 61%

78%

44%

Average goals

2,9

3,8

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,8

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,54 xG 1,16

57% Possession 43%

13 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Volendam 16. · Heracles 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	9	8	1	0	+19	+13.6	25
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	1	1	+15	+9.8	22
3	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	3	1	+7	+7.7	18
4	Groningen	10	6	0	4	+2	+1.6	18
5	Ajax	9	4	4	1	+5	+4.3	16
6	Sparta Rotterdam	10	5	1	4	-8	-3.3	16
7	Nijmegen	9	4	2	3	+8	+5.7	14
8	Twente	9	4	2	3	+3	+8.9	14
9	For Sittard	10	4	1	5	-1	-5.1	13
10	Utrecht	8	4	0	4	+7	+0.5	12
11	Heerenveen	9	3	3	3	+0	+8.6	12
12	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	4	3	-1	-3.8	10
13	NAC Breda	10	2	3	5	-6	-6.5	9
14	Excelsior	9	3	0	6	-9	-7.3	9
15	Zwolle	9	2	2	5	-8	-8.1	8
16	Volendam	9	1	4	4	-6	-6.7	7
17	Telstar	10	2	1	7	-7	-5.5	7
18	Heracles	9	1	0	8	-20	-14.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+6	+6.7	12
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+5	+4.3	12
3	Nijmegen	5	3	1	1	+7	+5.1	10
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	1	1	+6	+6.3	10
5	For Sittard	5	3	1	1	+2	+1.0	10
6	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+8	+3.6	9
7	Groningen	5	3	0	2	+4	+1.1	9
8	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+1	+6.8	9
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+4	+3.9	8
10	Twente	4	2	1	1	+0	+4.0	7
11	NAC Breda	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.2	7
12	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	1	2	-6	-1.8	7
13	Excelsior	5	2	0	3	-1	-4.2	6
14	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.4	5
15	Volendam	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
16	Telstar	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.3	4
17	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-7	-4.0	3
18	Heracles	4	1	0	3	-8	-6.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+13	+6.9	13
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.5	12
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+3	+3.8	10
4	Groningen	5	3	0	2	-2	+0.5	9
5	Sparta Rotterdam	5	3	0	2	-2	-1.5	9
6	Twente	5	2	1	2	+3	+4.8	7
7	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.2	5
8	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.1	5
9	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	+1	+0.6	4
10	Ajax	4	0	4	0	+0	+0.0	4
11	Utrecht	4	1	0	3	-1	-3.1	3
12	Heerenveen	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.7	3
13	For Sittard	5	1	0	4	-3	-6.1	3
14	Telstar	5	1	0	4	-4	-5.7	3
15	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-8	-3.1	3
16	NAC Breda	5	0	2	3	-6	-8.7	2
17	Volendam	5	0	2	3	-6	-5.7	2
18	Heracles	5	0	0	5	-12	-7.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.