Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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hodd
Stabaek
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 | +63 | 71 |
| 2 |
Start
|
27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | +19 | 48 |
| 3 |
Aalesund
|
25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | +22 | 47 |
| 4 |
Kongsvinger
|
26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 5 |
Lyn
|
27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +11 | 44 |
| 6 |
Egersund
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Sogndal
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 40 |
| 8 |
Ranheim
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 39 |
| 9 |
Odd
|
27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 |
hodd
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 31 |
| 11 |
Raufoss
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 |
Asane
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 |
Stabaek
|
26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 |
Moss
|
27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -23 | 26 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -36 | 18 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
O. Visted
I. Skotheim
Coach: Marius Lenni Bøe
M. Sjoeng
M. Hellan
J. Isaksen
A. Andresen
Coach: Mikael Lennart Tage Stahre
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Kongsvinger
hodd
hodd
Asane
Lillestrom
hodd
hodd
Lyn
hodd
Moss
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.