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OBOS-ligaen
Lillestrom
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Ranheim
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Ranheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
5,3
4,0
Scored
4,5
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+3,7
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 62%
81%
42%
Points per game
2,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
74%
65%
Both score Ø 57%
52%
62%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,4
Conceded
0,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 1. · Ranheim 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 27 22 5 0 +63 71
2 Start 27 14 6 7 +19 48
3 Aalesund 25 13 8 4 +22 47
4 Kongsvinger 26 13 8 5 +17 47
5 Lyn 27 13 5 9 +11 44
6 Egersund 25 12 6 7 +11 42
7 Sogndal 27 11 7 9 +2 40
8 Ranheim 26 11 6 9 -5 39
9 Odd 27 8 8 11 -7 32
10 hodd 27 8 7 12 -16 31
11 Raufoss 28 7 8 13 -12 29
12 Asane 27 7 8 12 -12 29
13 Stabaek 26 6 10 10 -2 28
14 Moss 27 7 5 15 -23 26
15 Mjondalen 26 4 6 16 -36 18
16 Skeid 28 1 9 18 -32 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Ranheim
1–0 Y. Paintsil
V. Hoff
31′
Half-time 1–1
51′
T. B. Haukeberg 1–1
A. Samuelsen
S. Drammeh 🔁
↦ M. Diop
57′
M. Karlsbakk 🔁
↦ H. Woxen
57′
60′
🔁 M. Emilsen
↦ P. Skjelbred
R. Gabrielsen 🟨
62′
2–1 S. Drammeh
E. Kitolano
67′
L. Alperud 🔁
↦ Y. Paintsil
80′
F. Elkaer 🔁
↦ K. Tonnesen
80′
80′
🔁 J. Berisha
↦ O. Holden
80′
🔁 V. Wenaas
↦ A. Samuelsen
90′
🔁 D. Torp-Helland
↦ M. Johnsen
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 M. Hedenstad
64 E. Larsson
28 R. Gabrielsen
5 S. Foss
19 K. Tonnesen
32 H. Woxen
6 V. Hoff
17 E. Kitolano
26 Y. Paintsil
33 M. Diop
20 Felix Va
Bench (7)
1 S. Hagerup
4 E. B. Garnas
2 L. Ranger
15 S. Drammeh
7 L. Alperud
11 F. Elkaer
8 M. Karlsbakk

Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard

Ranheim

1 S. Nilsen
22 T. B. Haukeberg
2 P. Slordahl
4 H. Rosten
15 E. Tonne
8 O. Holden
18 F. Camara
7 P. Skjelbred
16 S. Diop
21 M. Johnsen
10 A. Samuelsen
Bench (6)
30 T. Solvoll
13 M. V. Fagerhaug
14 M. Emilsen
17 D. Torp-Helland
26 J. Berisha
11 V. Wenaas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.