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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

LASK

T S T U S

1–0

Full-time

Grazer AK

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 15%

30%

Points per game

1,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

1,7

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

11 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match LASK 10. · Grazer AK 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	9	7	0	2	+11	+2.9	21
2	Salzburg	10	5	3	2	+7	+4.2	18
3	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	2	3	+6	+0.1	17
4	SK Rapid	10	5	2	3	+2	+0.8	17
5	Austria Vienna	10	5	1	4	+0	+0.0	16
6	Ried	10	4	2	4	+1	-2.4	14
7	Altach	10	3	4	3	+0	+1.1	13
8	Hartberg	10	3	3	4	+0	-0.4	12
9	BW Linz	10	3	1	6	-5	-2.2	10
10	LASK	10	3	1	6	-6	-5.0	10
11	Tirol	9	2	3	4	-3	+3.9	9
12	Grazer AK	10	0	6	4	-13	-3.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	3	2	1	+7	+2.7	11
2	Wolfsberger AC	6	3	0	3	+2	-0.1	9
3	Altach	5	2	2	1	+0	+0.9	8
4	Tirol	5	2	1	2	+2	+3.9	7
5	SK Rapid	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.8	7
6	LASK	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.9	7
7	BW Linz	5	2	0	3	+0	-1.3	6
8	Austria Vienna	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.2	6
9	Ried	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.5	5
10	Grazer AK	6	0	4	2	-5	-0.2	4
11	Sturm Graz	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.0	3
12	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-2	–	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	6	6	0	0	+12	+2.9	18
2	Hartberg	7	3	2	2	+2	-0.4	11
3	Austria Vienna	5	3	1	1	+3	+0.2	10
4	SK Rapid	5	3	1	1	+2	-0.0	10
5	Ried	5	3	0	2	+3	-0.9	9
6	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	2	0	+4	+0.2	8
7	Salzburg	4	2	1	1	+0	+1.5	7
8	Altach	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.1	5
9	BW Linz	5	1	1	3	-5	-0.8	4
10	LASK	5	1	0	4	-5	-2.2	3
11	Tirol	4	0	2	2	-5	–	2
12	Grazer AK	4	0	2	2	-8	-2.7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.