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Serie B
Referee: Matteo Marchetti
Bari
T T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 19. · Sampdoria 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 5 3 2 0 +7 11
2 Palermo 5 3 2 0 +5 11
3 Cesena 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Modena 4 3 1 0 +7 10
5 Avellino 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Sudtirol 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Venezia 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Juve Stabia 5 1 4 0 +2 7
9 Monza 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Padova 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Carrarese 4 1 2 1 +1 5
12 Catanzaro 5 0 5 0 +0 5
13 Reggiana 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Virtus Entella 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Pescara 4 1 1 2 +1 4
16 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -4 4
17 Mantova 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Spezia 5 0 2 3 -6 2
19 Bari 4 0 1 3 -6 1
20 Sampdoria 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Sampdoria
5′
🟨 Marvin Çuni
7′
🟨 Liam Henderson
R. Pucino 🔁
↦ F. Vicari
17′
19′
🟨 Fabio Depaoli
28′
F. Depaoli 0–1
S. Pafundi
1–1 G. Moncini
L. Dickmann
32′
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 Leonardo Benedetti
Lorenzo Dickmann 🟨
53′
E. Darboe 🔁
↦ G. Maggiore
66′
G. Sibilli 🔁
↦ C. Gytkjaer
66′
66′
🔁 L. Venuti
↦ L. Benedetti
66′
🔁 A. Bellemo
↦ L. Henderson
R. Burgio 🔁
↦ A. Meroni
75′
80′
🔁 A. Barak
↦ F. Depaoli
80′
🔁 M. Coda
↦ S. Pafundi
Giuseppe Sibilli 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bari

3-5-2
31 M. Cerofolini G
13 A. Meroni D
23 F. Vicari D
43 D. Nikolaou D
24 L. Dickmann M
18 G. Maggiore M
29 M. Verreth M
4 G. Castrovilli M
93 M. Dorval M
11 G. Moncini F
9 C. Gytkjaer F
Bench (12)
1 M. Pissardo
25 R. Pucino
10 N. Bellomo
27 M. Braunoder
3 R. Burgio
5 E. Darboe
8 R. Pagano
20 G. Pereiro
7 G. Sibilli
16 M. Antonucci
21 A. Partipilo
17 E. Rao

Coach: Fabio Caserta

Sampdoria

3-4-2-1
1 S. Ghidotti G
5 A. Riccio D
17 D. Hadzikadunic D
31 S. Vulikic D
23 F. Depaoli M
16 L. Henderson M
28 O. Abildgaard M
44 N. Ioannou M
20 S. Pafundi F
80 L. Benedetti F
7 M. Cuni F
Bench (12)
98 G. Coucke
30 N. Ravaglia
3 A. Coubis
21 S. Giordano
18 L. Venuti
72 A. Barak
14 A. Bellemo
33 F. Conti
4 J. Ferri
8 M. Ricci
9 M. Coda
70 V. Narro

Coach: Massimo Donati

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U ✓
3,12
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Matteo Marchetti · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.