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Serie B

Referee: Daniele Perenzoni

Palermo

T U S U S

2–0

Full-time

Bari

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,3

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

24 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 0

7 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 4. · Bari 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Modena	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Cesena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Carrarese	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Venezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Virtus Entella	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Reggiana	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Monza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Avellino	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Catanzaro	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Juve Stabia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Mantova	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Spezia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Pescara	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Padova	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Bari	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Empoli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Sudtirol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Juve Stabia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Pescara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Carrarese	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Modena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sudtirol	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Venezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Juve Stabia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Padova	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Avellino	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Mantova	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Bari	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.