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Serie B

Referee: K Bonacina

Spezia

U S U S U

1–0

Full-time

Reggiana

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Reggiana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 23

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 3. · Reggiana 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	7	4	2	1	+3	14
2	Juve Stabia	8	4	2	2	+1	14
3	Spezia	7	3	4	0	+4	13
4	Brescia	7	4	0	3	+3	12
5	Sassuolo	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Cesena	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Palermo	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Cremonese	7	3	1	3	+2	10
9	Mantova	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Bari	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Reggiana	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Cosenza	7	2	3	2	+0	9
13	Sudtirol	7	3	0	4	-2	9
14	Modena	7	2	2	3	+0	8
15	Sampdoria	8	2	2	4	-1	8
16	Salernitana	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Cittadella	7	2	2	3	-1	8
18	Catanzaro	7	1	4	2	-1	7
19	Frosinone	7	1	3	3	-7	6
20	Carrarese	7	1	1	5	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Pisa	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Brescia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Spezia	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Mantova	3	3	0	0	+3	9
6	Salernitana	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Modena	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Juve Stabia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Catanzaro	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Bari	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Carrarese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	-2	4
18	Frosinone	4	0	3	1	-3	3
19	Palermo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Cittadella	3	0	2	1	-1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	3	0	2	+2	9
2	Sassuolo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Juve Stabia	5	2	2	1	+0	8
4	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	+2	6
5	Cittadella	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Bari	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Spezia	4	0	4	0	+0	4
9	Reggiana	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Pisa	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Sudtirol	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Brescia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Modena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Cosenza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Catanzaro	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Cesena	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Salernitana	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Mantova	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Carrarese	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.