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Serie B
Referee: F Dionisi
Bari
S U U U U
0–0
Full-time
Carrarese
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Carrarese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
30%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 3
6 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 10. · Carrarese 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 10 6 3 1 +11 21
2 Pisa 10 6 3 1 +6 21
3 Spezia 10 5 5 0 +7 20
4 Cremonese 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Palermo 10 4 3 3 +3 15
6 Juve Stabia 10 4 3 3 +0 15
7 Sampdoria 10 4 2 4 +2 14
8 Cesena 10 4 2 4 +1 14
9 Brescia 10 4 1 5 -2 13
10 Bari 10 2 6 2 +2 12
11 Catanzaro 10 2 6 2 +2 12
12 Reggiana 10 3 3 4 -1 12
13 Mantova 10 3 3 4 -3 12
14 Sudtirol 10 4 0 6 -4 12
15 Carrarese 10 3 2 5 -2 11
16 Cosenza 10 2 5 3 -2 11
17 Salernitana 10 3 2 5 -3 11
18 Modena 10 2 4 4 -2 10
19 Cittadella 10 2 3 5 -9 9
20 Frosinone 10 1 4 5 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Bari

3-1-4-2
1 B. Radunović G
25 R. Pucino D
23 F. Vicari D
3 V. Mantovani D
8 Ahmad Benali M
27 C. Favasuli M
28 N. Lella M
4 M. Maita M
93 M. Dorval M
20 G. Sibilli F
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (11)
18 G. Manzari
7 A. Oliveri
10 N. Bellomo
9 A. Novakovich
55 N. Obaretin
17 R. Maiello
22 M. Pissardo
11 L. Sgarbi
94 C. Saco
13 A. Tripaldelli
44 L. Šimić

Coach: M. Longo

Carrarese

3-5-2
1 M. Bleve G
21 M. Coppolaro D
4 J. Illanes D
3 M. Imperiale D
72 S. Zanon M
17 E. Zuelli M
18 N. Schiavi M
20 S. Giovane M
11 M. Cicconi M
32 M. Finotto F
10 G. Panico F
Bench (12)
90 L. Cerri
19 S. Shpendi
82 L. Capezzi
9 L. Cherubini
77 N. Belloni
6 F. Oliana
39 M. Motolese
13 D. Bouah
24 N. Chiorra
34 G. Guarino
8 R. Palmieri
28 A. Capello

Coach: A. Calabro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,99
U ✓
3,28
B
3,91
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.