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Serie B

Referee: A Colombo

Bari

U S S U U

1–1

Full-time

Catanzaro

S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

25%

13%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,9

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

16 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 5

5 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 12. · Catanzaro 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	8	5	2	1	+5	17
2	Spezia	8	4	4	0	+5	16
3	Sassuolo	8	4	3	1	+6	15
4	Juve Stabia	8	4	2	2	+1	14
5	Brescia	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Sudtirol	8	4	0	4	+0	12
7	Cremonese	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Cesena	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Palermo	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Salernitana	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Mantova	8	3	2	3	-2	11
12	Bari	8	2	4	2	+2	10
13	Modena	8	2	3	3	+0	9
14	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Cosenza	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Sampdoria	8	2	2	4	-1	8
17	Catanzaro	8	1	5	2	-1	8
18	Cittadella	8	2	2	4	-6	8
19	Carrarese	8	2	1	5	-5	7
20	Frosinone	8	1	3	4	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Spezia	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Cesena	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Mantova	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Brescia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Salernitana	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Catanzaro	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Modena	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Juve Stabia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Bari	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Cremonese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Carrarese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Frosinone	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	Cittadella	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Palermo	3	0	2	1	-1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	3	0	2	+2	9
2	Sassuolo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Juve Stabia	5	2	2	1	+0	8
4	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	+2	6
5	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Cittadella	5	2	0	3	-5	6
7	Bari	4	1	2	1	+2	5
8	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Spezia	4	0	4	0	+0	4
10	Pisa	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Brescia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Modena	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Carrarese	5	1	0	4	-5	3
17	Cosenza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Catanzaro	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Cesena	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Mantova	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.