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Serie B
Referee: G Scatena
Reggiana
T T U U T
2–0
Full-time
Frosinone
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
0 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 16. · Frosinone 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 9 6 2 1 +6 20
2 Spezia 9 5 4 0 +7 19
3 Sassuolo 9 5 3 1 +9 18
4 Juve Stabia 8 4 2 2 +1 14
5 Brescia 9 4 1 4 +0 13
6 Palermo 9 3 3 3 +1 12
7 Sudtirol 9 4 0 5 -1 12
8 Cremonese 8 3 2 3 +2 11
9 Bari 9 2 5 2 +2 11
10 Cesena 8 3 2 3 +1 11
11 Salernitana 9 3 2 4 -2 11
12 Mantova 8 3 2 3 -2 11
13 Modena 9 2 4 3 +0 10
14 Cosenza 9 2 4 3 -2 10
15 Catanzaro 9 1 6 2 -1 9
16 Reggiana 8 2 3 3 -1 9
17 Cittadella 9 2 3 4 -6 9
18 Sampdoria 8 2 2 4 -1 8
19 Carrarese 8 2 1 5 -5 7
20 Frosinone 8 1 3 4 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Frosinone
Alessandro Fontanarosa 🟨
12′
1–0 L. Vido
M. Marras
14′
22′
🔁 L. Canotto
↦ A. Partipilo
Natan Girma 🟨
35′
37′
🟨 Francesco Gelli
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 T. Begić
↦ G. Kvernadze
58′
🔁 L. Garritano
↦ İ. Vural
58′
🔁 J. Oyono
↦ A. Oyono
2–0 L. Vido
66′
O. Okwonkwo 🔁
↦ L. Vido
74′
74′
🔁 A. Cichero
↦ L. Canotto
L. Libutti 🔁
↦ A. Sersanti
75′
M. Portanova 🔁
↦ N. Girma
75′
Lorenzo Lucchesi 🟨
77′
O. Urso 🔁
↦ A. Fontanarosa
78′
Leo Štulac 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Luca Garritano
Y. Nahounou 🔁
↦ R. Fiamozzi
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Reggiana

4-3-2-1
22 F. Bardi G
15 R. Fiamozzi D
13 A. Meroni D
44 L. Lucchesi D
24 A. Fontanarosa D
7 M. Marras M
6 L. Štulac M
5 A. Sersanti M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
80 N. Girma M
10 L. Vido F
Bench (12)
18 O. Okwonkwo
17 L. Libutti
90 M. Portanova
29 O. Urso
87 Y. Nahounou
30 A. Vergara
8 L. Cigarini
1 E. Motta
16 T. Reinhart
23 S. Pettinari
39 G. Cavallini
27 M. Maggio

Coach: W. Viali

Frosinone

4-1-4-1
31 M. Cerofolini G
20 A. Oyono D
4 D. Biraschi D
30 I. Monterisi D
3 R. Marchizza D
55 E. Darboe M
70 A. Partipilo M
8 İ. Vural M
14 F. Gelli M
17 G. Kvernadze M
10 G. Ambrosino F
Bench (12)
27 L. Canotto
11 T. Begić
16 L. Garritano
21 J. Oyono
9 A. Cichero
18 D. Bettella
7 F. Ghedjemis
47 Mateus Lusuardi
37 K. Barcella
13 A. Sorrentino
79 G. Bracaglia
77 José Machín

Coach: V. Vivarini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,50
U
3,16
B
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.