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Serie B
Referee: M Marcenaro
Carrarese
T S T T T
0–0
Full-time
Reggiana
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Carrarese 20. · Reggiana 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 6 4 2 0 +5 14
2 Spezia 6 3 3 0 +4 12
3 Sassuolo 6 3 2 1 +1 11
4 Cremonese 6 3 1 2 +3 10
5 Mantova 6 3 1 2 +0 10
6 Brescia 6 3 0 3 +2 9
7 Sudtirol 6 3 0 3 +0 9
8 Modena 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Bari 6 2 2 2 +2 8
10 Cesena 6 2 2 2 +1 8
11 Reggiana 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Cosenza 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Palermo 6 2 2 2 +0 8
14 Cittadella 7 2 2 3 -1 8
15 Juve Stabia 6 2 2 2 -2 8
16 Salernitana 6 2 1 3 -1 7
17 Catanzaro 6 1 3 2 -1 6
18 Frosinone 7 1 3 3 -7 6
19 Sampdoria 6 1 2 3 -2 5
20 Carrarese 6 1 0 5 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Carrarese Reggiana
3′
🟨 Alessandro Sersanti
25′
🟨 Antonio Vergara
26′
🟨 Orji Okwonkwo
Leonardo Capezzi 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Marras
↦ A. Vergara
50′
🟨 Andrea Meroni
54′
🟨 Manuel Marras
S. Giovane 🔁
↦ L. Capezzi
59′
G. Panico 🔁
↦ A. Capello
59′
Hjörtur Hermannsson 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 L. Vido
↦ R. Fiamozzi
M. Coppolaro 🔁
↦ H. Hermannsson
66′
S. Zanon 🔁
↦ D. Bouah
67′
69′
🔁 L. Lucchesi
↦ A. Sersanti
70′
🔁 L. Ignacchiti
↦ L. Štulac
L. Cerri 🔁
↦ L. Cherubini
75′
83′
🔁 C. Gondo
↦ O. Okwonkwo
Giuseppe Panico 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Carrarese

3-4-2-1
1 M. Bleve G
66 H. Hermannsson D
4 J. Illanes D
3 M. Imperiale D
13 D. Bouah M
82 L. Capezzi M
18 N. Schiavi M
11 M. Cicconi M
28 A. Capello F
9 L. Cherubini F
32 M. Finotto F
Bench (12)
20 S. Giovane
10 G. Panico
21 M. Coppolaro
72 S. Zanon
90 L. Cerri
8 R. Palmieri
24 N. Chiorra
25 F. Falco
34 G. Guarino
17 E. Zuelli
77 N. Belloni
6 F. Oliana

Coach: A. Calabro

Reggiana

5-4-1
22 F. Bardi G
15 R. Fiamozzi D
13 A. Meroni D
4 P. Rozzio D
24 A. Fontanarosa D
5 A. Sersanti D
30 A. Vergara M
16 T. Reinhart M
6 L. Štulac M
90 M. Portanova M
18 O. Okwonkwo F
Bench (12)
7 M. Marras
10 L. Vido
44 L. Lucchesi
25 L. Ignacchiti
11 C. Gondo
80 N. Girma
17 L. Libutti
27 M. Maggio
1 E. Motta
8 L. Cigarini
39 G. Cavallini
87 Y. Nahounou

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,69
U ✓
3,03
B
2,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.