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Serie B

Referee: M Fabbri

Mantova

T S T S T

1–1

Full-time

Brescia

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

43%

57%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%

21 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

24 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mantova 9. · Brescia 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	8	5	2	1	+5	17
2	Spezia	8	4	4	0	+5	16
3	Sassuolo	8	4	3	1	+6	15
4	Juve Stabia	8	4	2	2	+1	14
5	Brescia	7	4	0	3	+3	12
6	Palermo	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Cesena	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Cremonese	7	3	1	3	+2	10
9	Mantova	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Bari	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Cosenza	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Sudtirol	7	3	0	4	-2	9
14	Modena	7	2	2	3	+0	8
15	Sampdoria	8	2	2	4	-1	8
16	Salernitana	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Cittadella	8	2	2	4	-6	8
18	Catanzaro	7	1	4	2	-1	7
19	Carrarese	8	2	1	5	-5	7
20	Frosinone	8	1	3	4	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Spezia	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Cesena	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Brescia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Mantova	3	3	0	0	+3	9
6	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Salernitana	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Modena	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Juve Stabia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Catanzaro	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Bari	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Carrarese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Frosinone	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	Palermo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Cittadella	3	0	2	1	-1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	3	0	2	+2	9
2	Sassuolo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Juve Stabia	5	2	2	1	+0	8
4	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	+2	6
5	Cittadella	5	2	0	3	-5	6
6	Bari	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Spezia	4	0	4	0	+0	4
9	Pisa	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Sudtirol	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Brescia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Carrarese	5	1	0	4	-5	3
15	Modena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Cosenza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Catanzaro	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Salernitana	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Cesena	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Mantova	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.