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Serie B

Referee: D Chiffi

Cesena

S T U U S

4–2

Full-time

Mantova

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

33% Possession 67%

16 Shots 16

9 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cesena 12. · Mantova 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	6	4	2	0	+5	14
2	Spezia	7	3	4	0	+4	13
3	Sassuolo	7	3	3	1	+1	12
4	Cremonese	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Mantova	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Bari	7	2	3	2	+2	9
7	Brescia	6	3	0	3	+2	9
8	Sudtirol	6	3	0	3	+0	9
9	Reggiana	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Cosenza	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Modena	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Cesena	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Palermo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Cittadella	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Juve Stabia	6	2	2	2	-2	8
16	Salernitana	6	2	1	3	-1	7
17	Catanzaro	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Frosinone	7	1	3	3	-7	6
19	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-2	5
20	Carrarese	7	1	1	5	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Spezia	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Mantova	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Cesena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Modena	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Salernitana	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Catanzaro	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Bari	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Carrarese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	-2	4
17	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Frosinone	4	0	3	1	-3	3
19	Palermo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Cittadella	3	0	2	1	-1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Palermo	4	2	0	2	+0	6
4	Cittadella	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	Juve Stabia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
6	Bari	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Spezia	4	0	4	0	+0	4
9	Reggiana	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sudtirol	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Brescia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Modena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Cosenza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Cesena	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Salernitana	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Catanzaro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Mantova	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Carrarese	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.