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Serie B
Referee: D Rutella
Sudtirol
T U S S T
1–2
Full-time
Brescia
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
1,3
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 5. · Brescia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggiana 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Juve Stabia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Cesena 3 2 0 1 +2 6
4 Salernitana 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Sudtirol 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 Pisa 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Sassuolo 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Spezia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Mantova 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Modena 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Cittadella 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Cosenza 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Carrarese 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Cremonese 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Brescia 3 1 0 2 -2 3
16 Palermo 3 1 0 2 -2 3
17 Frosinone 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Sampdoria 4 0 2 2 -2 2
19 Catanzaro 3 0 2 1 -2 2
20 Bari 4 0 2 2 -3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Brescia
-5′
🟨 Zylif Muca
12′
D. Adorni 0–1
N. Corrado
29′
🟨 Fabrizio Paghera
39′
🟨 Nicolas Galazzi
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Verreth
↦ F. Paghera
54′
🟨 Ante Matej Jurić
60′
N. Corrado 0–2
N. Galazzi
M. Praszelik 🔁
↦ F. Tait
66′
A. Mallamo 🔁
↦ D. Casiraghi
66′
M. Rover 🔁
↦ S. Molina
66′
Luca Ceppitelli 🟨
69′
S. Merkaj 🔁
↦ T. Arrigoni
74′
74′
🔁 G. Olzer
↦ N. Galazzi
74′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ A. Jurič
A. Giorgini 🔁
↦ R. Kofler
75′
Andrea Cagnano 🟨
76′
Silvio Merkaj 🟨
77′
83′
🟨 Dimitri Bisoli
1–2 R. Odogwu
85′
86′
🟨 Andrea Papetti
90′
🔁 M. Bertagnoli
↦ M. Besaggio
92′
🔁 G. Calvani
↦ N. Corrado
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sudtirol

5-3-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
79 S. Molina D
28 R. Kofler D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
3 A. Cagnano D
24 S. Davì D
4 T. Arrigoni M
27 J. Kurtić M
17 D. Casiraghi M
21 F. Tait F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
99 M. Praszelik
8 A. Mallamo
7 M. Rover
33 S. Merkaj
30 A. Giorgini
68 A. Vimercati
19 N. Pietrangeli
6 J. Martini
22 J. Tschöll
14 F. Davi
12 G. Drago
9 V. Crespi

Coach: F. Valente

Brescia

3-5-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
32 A. Papetti D
28 D. Adorni D
18 A. Jallow D
24 L. Dickmann M
4 F. Paghera M
25 D. Bisoli M
39 M. Besaggio M
19 N. Corrado M
23 N. Galazzi F
7 A. Jurič F
Bench (12)
6 M. Verreth
27 G. Olzer
9 F. Bianchi
26 M. Bertagnoli
5 G. Calvani
15 A. Cistana
20 P. Nuamah
8 B. Bjarnason
22 L. Andrenacci
21 R. Fogliata
33 Z. Muça
16 T. Buhagiar

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U
2,88
B ✓
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,68
U2,5
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Rutella · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.