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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Varnamo

T U T S U

0–1

Full-time

AIK

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 53%

45%

60%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,91 xG 0,61

65% Possession 35%

15 Shots 7

0 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 1

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 14. · AIK 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	20	14	3	3	+30	+21.2	45
2	Djurgarden	19	12	2	5	+15	+0.3	38
3	Hammarby	20	11	3	6	+16	+2.6	36
4	Mjallby	20	10	3	7	+4	+1.6	33
5	Elfsborg	20	10	2	8	+10	+3.6	32
6	GAIS	20	10	2	8	+0	-2.5	32
7	AIK	20	10	2	8	-2	+2.6	32
8	Hacken	19	9	4	6	+7	-4.1	31
9	Sirius	20	8	4	8	+3	+0.7	28
10	Brommapojkarna	20	6	7	7	-5	+1.8	25
11	Norrkoping	20	7	2	11	-17	-4.1	23
12	Goteborg	20	5	6	9	-10	-4.5	21
13	Halmstad	20	7	0	13	-14	-6.8	21
14	Varnamo	20	5	5	10	-9	-6.7	20
15	Vasteras SK	20	5	3	12	-10	+4.1	18
16	Kalmar	20	5	2	13	-18	-9.5	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	11	8	1	2	+17	+5.3	25
2	Malmo FF	9	8	0	1	+19	+8.7	24
3	GAIS	10	7	1	2	+7	+0.8	22
4	AIK	10	7	0	3	+10	+3.0	21
5	Mjallby	10	6	3	1	+8	+2.6	21
6	Hammarby	10	6	2	2	+11	+0.7	20
7	Hacken	10	5	2	3	+7	-2.3	17
8	Djurgarden	10	5	2	3	+2	-2.0	17
9	Halmstad	10	5	0	5	+3	-1.1	15
10	Norrkoping	10	5	0	5	-5	-1.3	15
11	Sirius	10	4	2	4	+5	+2.6	14
12	Vasteras SK	10	3	1	6	-5	+2.5	10
13	Goteborg	10	2	4	4	-6	-3.3	10
14	Brommapojkarna	9	2	3	4	-8	+1.1	9
15	Kalmar	10	2	2	6	-7	-3.2	8
16	Varnamo	10	1	2	7	-13	-4.1	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	9	7	0	2	+13	+2.3	21
2	Malmo FF	11	6	3	2	+11	+12.5	21
3	Hammarby	10	5	1	4	+5	+1.9	16
4	Brommapojkarna	11	4	4	3	+3	+0.6	16
5	Varnamo	10	4	3	3	+4	-2.7	15
6	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+0	-1.8	14
7	Sirius	10	4	2	4	-2	-1.9	14
8	Mjallby	10	4	0	6	-4	-1.1	12
9	Goteborg	10	3	2	5	-4	-1.2	11
10	AIK	10	3	2	5	-12	-0.4	11
11	GAIS	10	3	1	6	-7	-3.4	10
12	Kalmar	10	3	0	7	-11	-6.3	9
13	Vasteras SK	10	2	2	6	-5	+1.6	8
14	Norrkoping	10	2	2	6	-12	-2.9	8
15	Elfsborg	9	2	1	6	-7	-1.8	7
16	Halmstad	10	2	0	8	-17	-5.7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.