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Serie B

Referee: F Cosso

Modena

S U T S U

0–1

Full-time

Cittadella

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 10. · Cittadella 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Juve Stabia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Cesena	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Salernitana	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Pisa	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Sassuolo	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Spezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Mantova	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Modena	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Cittadella	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Carrarese	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Cremonese	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Brescia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Palermo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Frosinone	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Catanzaro	3	0	2	1	-2	2
20	Bari	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Cosenza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Juve Stabia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Frosinone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Cittadella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Bari	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juve Stabia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Palermo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
5	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
6	Sassuolo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Modena	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Mantova	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Bari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.