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Serie B

Referee: L Zufferli

Sudtirol

U T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Brescia

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

37%

32%

Both score Ø 53%

53%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%

9 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sudtirol 8. · Brescia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	20	13	3	4	+18	42
2	Reggina	20	11	3	6	+13	36
3	Bari	20	8	9	3	+15	33
4	Genoa	19	9	6	4	+7	33
5	Pisa	20	7	8	5	+9	29
6	Cagliari	20	7	7	6	+2	28
7	Parma	20	7	6	7	+1	27
8	Sudtirol	19	6	8	5	-3	26
9	Ternana	19	7	5	7	-4	26
10	Ascoli	19	6	7	6	+1	25
11	Modena	20	7	4	9	-1	25
12	Palermo	20	6	7	7	-3	25
13	Brescia	19	6	7	6	-6	25
14	Spal	20	5	8	7	-1	23
15	Benevento	19	5	7	7	-3	22
16	Como	20	5	7	8	-7	22
17	Cittadella	20	5	7	8	-10	22
18	Venezia	19	5	5	9	-5	20
19	Perugia	20	5	5	10	-8	20
20	Cosenza	19	4	5	10	-15	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	10	8	2	0	+14	26
2	Cagliari	11	6	3	2	+4	21
3	Reggina	10	5	2	3	+9	17
4	Pisa	10	5	2	3	+8	17
5	Parma	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Brescia	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Palermo	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Ternana	9	4	3	2	+2	15
9	Como	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Bari	10	3	5	2	+8	14
11	Genoa	9	3	5	1	+3	14
12	Modena	9	3	3	3	+3	12
13	Sudtirol	10	2	6	2	-1	12
14	Perugia	10	3	3	4	-4	12
15	Spal	10	3	2	5	+1	11
16	Cosenza	9	3	2	4	-1	11
17	Ascoli	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	Cittadella	9	2	4	3	-5	10
19	Benevento	10	2	3	5	-5	9
20	Venezia	10	2	2	6	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	10	5	4	1	+7	19
2	Genoa	10	6	1	3	+4	19
3	Reggina	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Frosinone	10	5	1	4	+4	16
5	Ascoli	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	Sudtirol	9	4	2	3	-2	14
7	Benevento	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Modena	11	4	1	6	-4	13
9	Pisa	10	2	6	2	+1	12
10	Venezia	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Spal	10	2	6	2	-2	12
12	Cittadella	11	3	3	5	-5	12
13	Parma	10	2	5	3	-2	11
14	Ternana	10	3	2	5	-6	11
15	Palermo	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Brescia	9	2	3	4	-8	9
17	Perugia	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Cagliari	9	1	4	4	-2	7
19	Como	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Cosenza	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.