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Super League
Referee: I Papadopoulos
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Super League · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
7 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 5. · Asteras Tripolis 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 PAOK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Aris 3 1 2 0 +1 5
4 AEK 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Aris Thessalonikis 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Asteras Tripolis 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Lamia 3 1 1 1 -2 4
8 Atromitos 3 0 3 0 +0 3
9 Panathinaikos 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Volos NFC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Athens Kallithea 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Levadeiakos 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 OFI Crete 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Panserraikos 3 0 0 3 -3 0
15 Panetolikos 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis
8′
ℹ️ Simon Deli
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Martin Frýdek 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
Martín Montoya 🔁
↦ Hugo Mallo
46′
63′
🔁 T. Tzandaris
↦ E. Yablonskiy
1–0 Loren Morón ⚽
Martín Montoya
63′
66′
🟨 Nikos Kaltsas
V. Darida 🔁
↦ Manu García
74′
Á. Zamora 🔁
↦ P. Sisto
74′
77′
🔁 V. Mantzis
↦ M. Ádám
77′
🔁 N. Zouglis
↦ N. Kaltsas
77′
🔁 J. Palacios
↦ J. Bartolo
81′
⚽ Xesc Regis 1–1
Álvaro Zamora 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Vasilios Mantzis
87′
🔁 A. Redžić
↦ Miki Muñoz
90′
🟨 Vasilios Mantzis
90′
🟥 Vasilios Mantzis
Martín Montoya 🟨
91′
G. Fetfatzidis 🔁
↦ Monchu
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
22 Hugo Mallo D
3 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
17 M. Frýdek D
5 J. Cifuentes M
8 Monchu M
99 C. Diandy M
6 Manu García M
7 P. Sisto M
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
33 Martín Montoya
16 V. Darida
9 Á. Zamora
10 G. Fetfatzidis
30 J. Jules
11 K. Saverio
20 F. Sidklev
21 Rubén Pardo
92 L. Rose

Coach: A. Mantzios

Asteras Tripolis

4-4-2
1 N. Papadopoulos G
2 Rubén García D
19 Pepe Castaño D
15 S. Deli D
3 D. Houhoumis D
20 N. Kaltsas M
22 Miki Muñoz M
5 E. Yablonskiy M
11 Xesc Regis M
7 J. Bartolo F
9 M. Ádám F
Bench (9)
8 T. Tzandaris
14 V. Mantzis
77 N. Zouglis
10 J. Palacios
6 A. Redžić
69 O. Adefunyibomi
21 P. Tzimas
29 F. Álvarez
16 P. Tsintotas

Coach: G. Douvikas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

I Papadopoulos · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
32,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.