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Premier League

Referee: M Oliver

West Ham

S T T S S

1–3

Full-time

Man City

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Man City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,73 xG 3,00

32% Possession 68%

10 Shots 23

2 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 11

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 3

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Ham 13. · Man City 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.4	7
2	Arsenal	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.6	7
3	Man City	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.8	6
4	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.5	6
5	Brentford	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.7	6
6	Aston Villa	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.1	6
7	Bournemouth	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.7	5
8	Nott'm Forest	3	1	2	0	+1	+2.7	5
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+4	+1.6	4
10	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.1	4
11	Fulham	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.3	4
12	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.0	3
13	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.5	3
14	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
15	Leicester	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.4	1
16	Ipswich	3	0	1	2	-5	-5.8	1
17	Wolves	3	0	1	2	-6	-0.8	1
18	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
19	Southampton	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.0	0
20	Everton	3	0	0	3	-8	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brentford	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.6	6
2	Arsenal	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.0	4
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.4	3
4	Man City	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.0	3
5	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.3	3
6	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
9	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
10	Nott'm Forest	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.4	2
11	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
12	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.2	1
13	Ipswich	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.7	1
14	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
15	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
16	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.0	0
17	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
18	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
19	Everton	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.2	0
20	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-4	+0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.7	6
2	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.7	4
3	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+4	-0.3	3
5	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.0	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
7	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
8	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
9	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
11	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
13	Wolves	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.1	1
14	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
15	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
16	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
17	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.3	0
18	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.0	0
19	Southampton	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.3	0
20	Everton	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.