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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myć
Zaglebie
U S U T T
1–0
Full-time
GKS Katowice
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie GKS Katowice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,90 xG 1,90
48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 14. · GKS Katowice 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 7 5 1 1 +8 +1.3 16
2 Piast Gliwice 7 4 2 1 +3 +0.6 14
3 Cracovia 6 4 1 1 +4 -2.2 13
4 Legia 6 3 2 1 +5 +2.6 11
5 Widzew Lodz 6 3 2 1 +2 -1.6 11
6 Rakow 7 3 2 2 +2 +3.7 11
7 Pogon Szczecin 6 3 1 2 +3 +3.0 10
8 Jagiellonia 5 3 0 2 +1 +0.0 9
9 GKS Katowice 6 2 2 2 +1 -3.0 8
10 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 2 2 -1 -1.3 8
11 Puszcza 7 1 4 2 +0 +1.2 7
12 Motor Lublin 5 1 3 1 +0 +0.8 6
13 Korona Kielce 7 1 3 3 -5 -4.7 6
14 Zaglebie 6 1 2 3 -3 +0.4 5
15 Slask Wroclaw 5 0 4 1 -2 +2.9 4
16 Stal Mielec 7 1 1 5 -5 +0.1 4
17 Radomiak Radom 5 1 0 4 -5 -0.8 3
18 Lechia Gdansk 6 0 2 4 -8 -3.4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie GKS Katowice
Half-time 0–0
A. Radwański 🔁
↦ M. Mróz
54′
P. Kusztal 🔁
↦ T. Makowski
68′
M. Wdowiak 🔁
↦ K. Szmyt
68′
71′
🔁 Borja Galán
↦ B. Nowak
79′
🔁 M. Marzec
↦ A. Błąd
80′
🔁 S. Milewski
↦ M. Kowalczyk
80′
🔁 J. Arak
↦ A. Zreľák
B. Kłudka 🔁
↦ Luís Mata
83′
H. Adamczyk 🔁
↦ T. Pieńko
83′
1–0 H. Adamczyk
87′
91′
🔁 S. Bergier
↦ G. Rogala
Damian Dąbrowski 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
30 D. Hładun G
13 M. Grzybek D
31 I. Orlikowski D
5 A. Ławniczak D
55 Luís Mata D
8 D. Dąbrowski M
6 T. Makowski M
21 T. Pieńko M
7 M. Mróz M
77 K. Szmyt M
9 V. Sejk F
Bench (9)
18 A. Radwański
23 P. Kusztal
17 M. Wdowiak
27 B. Kłudka
15 H. Adamczyk
26 J. Kolan
2 B. Kopacz
1 J. Burić
11 A. Woźniak

Coach: W. Fornalik

GKS Katowice

3-4-2-1
1 D. Kudła G
2 M. Kuusk D
4 A. Jędrych D
6 L. Klemenz D
23 M. Wasielewski M
77 M. Kowalczyk M
5 O. Repka M
16 G. Rogala M
11 A. Błąd F
27 B. Nowak F
99 A. Zreľák F
Bench (9)
8 Borja Galán
17 M. Marzec
22 S. Milewski
18 J. Arak
7 S. Bergier
14 A. Komor
32 R. Strączek
10 M. Mak
74 J. Antczak

Coach: R. Górak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Myć · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.