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2. Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

Hamburg

S S U S T

4–1

Full-time

Preußen Münster

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Preußen Münster

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 44%

67%

20%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,3

0,2

Conceded

1,0

2,6

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-2,4

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

62% Possession 38%

10 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 10

4 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 12. · Preußen Münster 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Greuther Furth	4	2	2	0	+6	8
3	Paderborn	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Karlsruhe	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Kaiserslautern	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Hannover	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Magdeburg	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	FC Koln	3	1	1	1	+4	4
9	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Hertha	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Regensburg	4	1	0	3	-7	3
14	Elversberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Preußen Münster	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Darmstadt	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Ulm	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Regensburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Magdeburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Elversberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Kaiserslautern	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Preußen Münster	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Darmstadt	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Ulm	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Kaiserslautern	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Karlsruhe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Elversberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Regensburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.