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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Brescia
U S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Sudtirol
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
35%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
30%
55%
Both score Ø 58%
50%
65%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 8. · Sudtirol 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 21 13 6 2 +23 45
2 Venezia 20 11 5 4 +13 38
3 Como 20 11 5 4 +8 38
4 Cittadella 20 10 6 4 +7 36
5 Cremonese 20 10 5 5 +13 35
6 Catanzaro 20 10 3 7 +6 33
7 Palermo 20 9 5 6 +7 32
8 Brescia 20 7 7 6 +1 28
9 Modena 20 7 7 6 -4 28
10 Bari 20 5 11 4 +0 26
11 Sampdoria 21 7 4 10 -6 25
12 Reggiana 20 5 9 6 -3 24
13 Sudtirol 20 6 5 9 -1 23
14 Pisa 20 5 8 7 -3 23
15 Cosenza 20 5 6 9 -3 21
16 Lecco 20 5 5 10 -11 20
17 Ternana 20 4 6 10 -6 18
18 Ascoli 20 4 6 10 -7 18
19 Spezia 20 3 8 9 -15 17
20 FeralpiSalo 20 3 5 12 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Sudtirol
44′
🟨 Daniele Casiraghi
Half-time 0–0
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ B. Bjarnason
46′
T. van de Looi 🔁
↦ A. Jallow
46′
65′
E. Pecorino 0–1
D. Casiraghi
G. Borrelli 🔁
↦ G. Moncini
71′
M. Ferro 🔁
↦ N. Galazzi
71′
Matteo Ferro 🟨
73′
73′
🔁 S. Merkaj
↦ E. Pecorino
Gennaro Borrelli ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
79′
1–1 G. Borrelli
81′
82′
🔁 G. Lunetta
↦ A. Cagnano
82′
🔁 R. Odogwu
↦ N. Rauti
82′
🔁 J. Kurtič
↦ T. Arrigoni
87′
🟨 Andrea Masiello
92′
🟨 Gabriel Lunetta
Massimiliano Mangraviti 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brescia

3-4-2-1
22 L. Andrenacci G
32 A. Papetti D
28 D. Adorni D
14 M. Mangraviti D
24 L. Dickmann M
25 D. Bisoli M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
18 A. Jallow M
23 N. Galazzi F
7 B. Bjarnason F
11 G. Moncini F
Bench (11)
9 F. Bianchi
5 T. van de Looi
29 G. Borrelli
31 M. Ferro
27 G. Olzer
30 M. Avella
16 R. Cartano
39 M. Besaggio
4 F. Paghera
6 M. Fares
3 M. Huard

Coach: R. Maran

Sudtirol

3-5-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
28 R. Kofler D
2 F. Scaglia D
55 A. Masiello D
11 R. Ciervo M
21 F. Tait M
4 T. Arrigoni M
17 D. Casiraghi M
3 A. Cagnano M
23 N. Rauti F
9 E. Pecorino F
Bench (12)
33 S. Merkaj
8 G. Lunetta
90 R. Odogwu
27 J. Kurtič
6 L. Ghiringhelli
5 K. Vinetot
24 S. Davì
30 A. Giorgini
77 L. Lonardi
26 A. Cisco
15 J. Broh
12 G. Drago

Coach: F. Valente

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U ✓
3,02
B
4,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,72
U2,5 ✓
1,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.