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Championship
Referee: L Doughty
Millwall
T S T U T
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Sheffield Weds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,78 xG 0,16
39% Possession 61%
18 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 22. · Sheffield Weds 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sunderland 3 3 0 0 +7 +2.7 9
2 Watford 3 3 0 0 +5 +0.9 9
3 Blackburn 4 2 2 0 +3 -0.8 8
4 Burnley 4 2 1 1 +7 +0.2 7
5 West Brom 3 2 1 0 +3 +0.4 7
6 Middlesbrough 4 2 1 1 +2 +5.0 7
7 Sheffield United 3 1 2 0 +2 +1.2 5
8 Leeds 3 1 2 0 +2 +3.3 5
9 Bristol City 3 1 2 0 +1 +0.1 5
10 QPR 4 1 2 1 -1 -0.2 5
11 Norwich 4 1 2 1 -1 +0.6 5
12 Swansea 3 1 1 1 +2 -0.0 4
13 Coventry 4 1 1 2 -1 +2.4 4
14 Portsmouth 3 0 3 0 +0 -4.3 3
15 Oxford 3 1 0 2 +0 -1.8 3
16 Hull 3 0 3 0 +0 +0.6 3
17 Derby 3 1 0 2 -2 -1.9 3
18 Sheffield Weds 3 1 0 2 -2 +2.3 3
19 Stoke 3 1 0 2 -3 -1.0 3
20 Preston 3 1 0 2 -4 -3.4 3
21 Plymouth 3 0 2 1 -4 -6.6 2
22 Millwall 3 0 1 2 -2 +0.3 1
23 Luton 4 0 1 3 -5 +1.9 1
24 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 -9 -2.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Sheffield Weds
Japhet Tanganga 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Coburn
58′
60′
🟨 Barry Bannan
62′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ I. Ugbo
62′
🔁 J. Windass
↦ J. Lowe
62′
🔁 O. Kobacki
↦ D. Gassama
2–0 D. Watmore
71′
M. Langstaff 🔁
↦ J. Coburn
78′
Romain Esse 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 Pol Valentín
↦ A. Musaba
83′
🔁 S. Ingelsson
↦ S. Charles
R. Wintle 🔁
↦ D. Watmore
85′
O. Azeez 🔁
↦ R. Esse
85′
3–0 J. Cooper
C. De Norre
88′
A. Emakhu 🔁
↦ G. Honeyman
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Millwall

4-2-3-1
1 L. Jensen G
18 R. Leonard D
6 J. Tanganga D
5 J. Cooper D
15 J. Bryan D
24 C. De Norre M
23 G. Saville M
25 R. Esse M
39 G. Honeyman M
19 D. Watmore M
21 J. Coburn F
Bench (9)
17 M. Langstaff
14 R. Wintle
11 O. Azeez
22 A. Emakhu
13 L. Roberts
2 D. McNamara
33 C. Scanlon
16 D. Kelly
4 S. Hutchinson

Coach: N. Harris

Sheffield Weds

4-2-3-1
1 J. Beadle G
27 Y. Valery D
20 M. Ihiekwe D
5 D. Bernard D
3 M. Lowe D
10 B. Bannan M
44 S. Charles M
41 D. Gassama M
9 J. Lowe M
45 A. Musaba M
12 I. Ugbo F
Bench (9)
24 M. Smith
11 J. Windass
19 O. Kobacki
14 Pol Valentín
8 S. Ingelsson
23 A. Famewo
18 M. Johnson
2 L. Palmer
47 P. Charles

Coach: D. Röhl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
3,32
B
2,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Doughty · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.