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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Ein Frankfurt
T U U S T
3–1
Full-time
Hoffenheim
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,7
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,48 xG 0,94
50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 17. · Hoffenheim 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Union Berlin 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.4 4
2 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.6 3
3 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.7 3
4 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.2 3
5 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
6 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.1 3
7 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.8 3
8 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.3 3
9 Augsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
10 Werder Bremen 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
11 Mainz 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.9 1
12 Wolfsburg 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
13 M'gladbach 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.1 0
14 Holstein Kiel 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.8 0
15 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.3 0
16 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.6 0
17 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.7 0
18 St Pauli 2 0 0 2 -3 -0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Hoffenheim
11′
🟨 Tim Drexler
1–0 H. Ekitiké
Omar Marmoush
24′
2–0 H. Larsson
H. Ekitiké
33′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Berisha
↦ M. Bülter
46′
🔁 R. Hranáč
↦ T. Drexler
54′
A. Kramarić 2–1
A. Hložek
3–1 Omar Marmoush
M. Götze
56′
59′
🔁 F. Micheler
↦ D. Geiger
64′
🟨 Florian Micheler
I. Matanović 🔁
↦ H. Ekitiké
65′
72′
🟨 Kevin Akpoguma
73′
🔁 J. Bruun Larsen
↦ A. Prass
C. Uzun 🔁
↦ M. Götze
79′
F. Chaïbi 🔁
↦ Omar Marmoush
79′
A. Knauff 🔁
↦ N. Nkounkou
80′
85′
🔁 H. Tabaković
↦ G. Prömel
N. Collins 🔁
↦ Tuta
94′
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
4,10
B
4,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.