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Serie B

Referee: M Gualtieri

Sudtirol

S S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Brescia

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 27%

31%

23%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

54%

23%

Both score Ø 50%

62%

38%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sudtirol 13. · Brescia 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	14	9	3	2	+15	30
2	Venezia	14	9	3	2	+11	30
3	Cremonese	14	7	4	3	+9	25
4	Palermo	14	7	3	4	+8	24
5	Catanzaro	14	7	3	4	+4	24
6	Como	13	7	3	3	+3	24
7	Modena	14	6	5	3	+1	23
8	Cittadella	14	6	4	4	-1	22
9	Cosenza	14	5	4	5	+3	19
10	Sampdoria	14	5	3	6	-1	18
11	Bari	14	3	9	2	-1	18
12	Pisa	14	4	5	5	-1	17
13	Sudtirol	13	4	4	5	+1	16
14	Reggiana	14	3	7	4	-3	16
15	Brescia	13	3	5	5	-3	14
16	Ascoli	14	3	4	7	-4	13
17	Lecco	13	3	3	7	-8	12
18	Spezia	14	1	7	6	-9	10
19	Ternana	14	1	5	8	-6	8
20	FeralpiSalo	14	1	4	9	-18	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	8	5	3	0	+8	18
2	Venezia	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+0	14
4	Catanzaro	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Como	6	4	1	1	+2	13
6	Cosenza	7	3	2	2	+6	11
7	Palermo	7	3	1	3	+2	10
8	Modena	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	Cremonese	8	2	3	3	+1	9
10	Sampdoria	7	3	0	4	-1	9
11	Sudtirol	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Reggiana	7	1	5	1	-1	8
13	Bari	7	1	5	1	-2	8
14	Ascoli	6	2	1	3	+1	7
15	Ternana	8	1	3	4	-1	6
16	Pisa	7	1	3	3	-2	6
17	Brescia	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	Spezia	6	0	4	2	-2	4
19	Lecco	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	FeralpiSalo	6	0	2	4	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Palermo	7	4	2	1	+6	14
3	Venezia	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Modena	7	3	4	0	+3	13
5	Parma	6	4	0	2	+7	12
6	Catanzaro	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Como	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Bari	7	2	4	1	+1	10
10	Sampdoria	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Brescia	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Sudtirol	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Cittadella	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Reggiana	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Lecco	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Cosenza	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Ascoli	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Spezia	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	FeralpiSalo	8	1	2	5	-11	5
20	Ternana	6	0	2	4	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.