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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Puszcza
U T U S U
0–0
Full-time
Korona Kielce
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puszcza Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,06 xG 1,20
36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Puszcza 11. · Korona Kielce 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 7 5 1 1 +8 +1.3 16
2 Piast Gliwice 7 4 2 1 +3 +0.6 14
3 Cracovia 6 4 1 1 +4 -2.2 13
4 Legia 6 3 2 1 +5 +2.6 11
5 Widzew Lodz 6 3 2 1 +2 -1.6 11
6 Rakow 7 3 2 2 +2 +3.7 11
7 Pogon Szczecin 6 3 1 2 +3 +3.0 10
8 Jagiellonia 5 3 0 2 +1 +0.0 9
9 GKS Katowice 6 2 2 2 +1 -3.0 8
10 Gornik Zabrze 6 2 2 2 -1 -1.3 8
11 Puszcza 6 1 3 2 +0 +1.4 6
12 Motor Lublin 5 1 3 1 +0 +0.8 6
13 Zaglebie 6 1 2 3 -3 +0.4 5
14 Korona Kielce 6 1 2 3 -5 -4.8 5
15 Slask Wroclaw 5 0 4 1 -2 +2.9 4
16 Stal Mielec 7 1 1 5 -5 +0.1 4
17 Radomiak Radom 5 1 0 4 -5 -0.8 3
18 Lechia Gdansk 6 0 2 4 -8 -3.4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Puszcza Korona Kielce
Jin-hyun Lee 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
M. Radecki 🔁
↦ M. Kosidis
60′
J. Blagaić 🔁
↦ M. Cholewiak
60′
M. Walski 🔁
↦ J. Serafin
71′
71′
🔁 S. Nagamatsu
↦ M. Remacle
71′
🔁 W. Długosz
↦ H. Zwoźny
77′
🟨 Yoav Hofmeister
80′
🔁 D. Trejo
↦ Pedro Nuno
80′
🔁 W. Kamiński
↦ Y. Hofmeister
W. Hajda 🔁
↦ M. Sipľak
83′
D. Szymonowicz 🔁
↦ P. Mroziński
83′
92′
🟨 Shuma Nagamatsu
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Puszcza

4-2-3-1
1 K. Komar G
8 P. Mroziński D
22 A. Crăciun D
3 R. Yakuba D
18 M. Sipľak D
14 J. Serafin M
5 K. Stępień M
11 M. Cholewiak M
6 Lee Jin-Hyun M
33 D. Abramowicz M
35 M. Kosidis F
Bench (9)
17 M. Radecki
24 J. Blagaić
16 M. Walski
70 W. Hajda
4 D. Szymonowicz
77 D. Kogut
31 M. Perchel
27 Ł. Sołowiej
10 H. Tomalski

Coach: T. Tułacz

Korona Kielce

3-1-4-2
1 X. Dziekoński G
66 M. Trojak D
5 Pau Resta D
6 M. Pięczek D
18 Y. Hofmeister M
37 H. Zwoźny M
8 M. Remacle M
27 Pedro Nuno M
3 K. Matuszewski M
20 Adrián Dalmau F
9 E. Shikavka F
Bench (9)
10 S. Nagamatsu
71 W. Długosz
21 D. Trejo
88 W. Kamiński
4 P. Malarczyk
24 B. Smolarczyk
7 D. Błanik
87 R. Mamla
17 M. Fornalczyk

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.