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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Willem II

S T U S U

1–2

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,39 xG 0,93

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 8. · Sparta Rotterdam 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.7	10
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+12	+6.3	9
3	Groningen	4	2	2	0	+4	+0.7	8
4	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.1	7
5	Nijmegen	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.3	6
6	For Sittard	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.5	6
7	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+4	+3.6	5
8	Willem II	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.5	5
9	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	+3	+1.5	4
10	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
11	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.6	3
13	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	0	2	-2	+2.0	3
14	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-7	-3.2	3
15	Heracles	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.9	2
16	Almere City	4	0	1	3	-10	-5.6	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.9	0
18	Waalwijk	4	0	0	4	-10	-7.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+4	+2.5	4
2	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
3	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
4	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
9	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.5	3
11	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
13	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
14	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
15	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
16	Almere City	3	0	1	2	-7	-3.0	1
17	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.9	0
18	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	+4.0	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.4	6
3	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	+2.0	4
4	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
5	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
6	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.2	3
7	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
8	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
9	Willem II	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
11	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
12	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
14	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.1	0
16	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.8	0
18	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-7	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.