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Serie B

Referee: M Monaldi

Carrarese

S T T T

2–0

Full-time

Sudtirol

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

75%

67%

Both score Ø 71%

75%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

0,5

2,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Carrarese 18. · Sudtirol 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Juve Stabia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Mantova	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Spezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Cesena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Cosenza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Modena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Frosinone	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Bari	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Palermo	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juve Stabia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Mantova	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Bari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Palermo	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.