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DFB-Pokal
Referee: C Dingert
Rot-Weiß Essen
T
1–4
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rot-Weiß Essen RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
7,0
3,2
Scored
3,0
2,2
Conceded
4,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 0
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rot-Weiß Essen RB Leipzig
1–0 R. Safi ⚽
T. Müsel
2′
12′
⚽ B. Šeško 1–1
A. Haidara
40′
⚽ L. Openda 1–2
B. Šeško
Half-time 1–2
José-Enrique Ríos Alonso 🟨
47′
Ahmet Arslan 🟨
63′
65′
🔁 B. Henrichs
↦ L. Klostermann
66′
🟨 Benjamin Henrichs
66′
🔁 C. Lukeba
↦ D. Raum
M. Wintzheimer 🔁
↦ R. Safi
67′
T. Eisfeld 🔁
↦ J. Kaparos
68′
E. Çelebi 🔁
↦ J. Ríos Alonso
77′
83′
🔁 A. Nusa
↦ A. Haidara
83′
🔁 André Silva
↦ B. Šeško
84′
⚽ A. Nusa 1–3
X. Simons
87′
⚽ X. Simons 1–4
André Silva
M. Kourouma 🔁
↦ E. Voufack
89′
G. Swajkowski 🔁
↦ T. Eisfeld
89′
89′
🔁 V. Gebel
↦ X. Simons
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Rot-Weiß Essen

5-3-2
1 J. Golz G
19 E. Voufack D
23 J. Ríos Alonso D
4 M. Schultz D
33 T. Kraulich D
14 L. Brumme D
26 T. Müsel M
8 J. Kaparos M
6 A. Arslan M
11 R. Safi F
9 L. Vonić F
Bench (9)
25 M. Wintzheimer
10 T. Eisfeld
17 E. Çelebi
16 M. Kourouma
39 G. Swajkowski
21 D. Berisha
35 F. Wienand
31 O. Springer
18 N. Kaiser

Coach: C. Dabrowski

RB Leipzig

4-4-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
16 L. Klostermann D
2 M. Simakan D
4 W. Orbán D
22 D. Raum D
8 A. Haidara M
13 N. Seiwald M
44 K. Kampl M
10 X. Simons M
11 L. Openda F
30 B. Šeško F
Bench (8)
39 B. Henrichs
23 C. Lukeba
7 A. Nusa
19 André Silva
47 V. Gebel
25 L. Zingerle
26 M. Vandevoordt
38 N. Jatta

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.