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Premier League
Referee: M Oliver
Nott'm Forest
T T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Bournemouth
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,30 xG 1,22
53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nott'm Forest Bournemouth
R. Yates 🔁
↦ Danilo
15′
1–0 C. Wood
23′
35′
ℹ️ Dango Ouattara
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Miloš Kerkez
Neco Williams 🟨
49′
H. Toffolo 🔁
↦ O. Aina
54′
N. Domínguez 🔁
↦ A. Elanga
54′
57′
🟨 Lewis Cook
63′
🔁 J. Araujo
↦ A. Smith
63′
🔁 R. Christie
↦ A. Scott
64′
🔁 J. Kluivert
↦ L. Sinisterra
69′
🔁 D. Jebbison
↦ D. Ouattara
E. Anderson 🔁
↦ C. Hudson-Odoi
72′
T. Awoniyi 🔁
↦ C. Wood
72′
84′
🔁 P. Billing
↦ L. Cook
86′
A. Semenyo 1–1
89′
🟨 Justin Kluivert
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
26 M. Sels G
7 N. Williams D
30 W. Boly D
5 Murillo D
34 O. Aina D
6 I. Sangaré M
28 Danilo M
21 A. Elanga M
10 M. Gibbs-White M
14 C. Hudson-Odoi M
11 C. Wood F
Bench (9)
22 R. Yates
15 H. Toffolo
16 N. Domínguez
8 E. Anderson
9 T. Awoniyi
33 Carlos Miguel
12 A. Omobamidele
17 E. da Silva Moreira
20 Jota Silva

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
1 Neto G
15 A. Smith D
27 I. Zabarnyi D
2 Dean Huijsen D
3 M. Kerkez D
14 A. Scott M
4 L. Cook M
11 D. Ouattara M
16 M. Tavernier M
17 L. Sinisterra M
24 A. Semenyo F
Bench (9)
28 J. Araujo
10 R. Christie
19 J. Kluivert
21 D. Jebbison
29 P. Billing
32 J. Anthony
22 H. Traorè
23 J. Hill
42 M. Travers

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U ✓
3,49
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.