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Premier League
Referee: S Hooper
Everton
S S U S T
0–3
Full-time
Brighton
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,45 xG 1,43
38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
7 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Feb -24 Brighton – Everton 1–1 4. Nov -23 Everton – Brighton 1–1 8. May -23 Brighton – Everton 1–5 3. Jan -23 Everton – Brighton 1–4 2. Jan -22 Everton – Brighton 2–3

Match report

Everton Brighton
25′
⚽ K. Mitoma 0–1
Y. Minteh
31′
🟨 James Milner
Half-time 0–1
47′
🔁 S. Adingra
↦ Y. Minteh
Dominic Calvert-Lewin ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
48′
56′
⚽ D. Welbeck 0–2
M. Wieffer
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ A. Doucouré
63′
Ashley Young 🟥
66′
Beto 🔁
↦ D. Calvert-Lewin
76′
76′
🔁 A. Webster
↦ L. Dunk
James Tarkowski 🟨
77′
82′
🔁 J. Sarmiento
↦ João Pedro
82′
🔁 B. Gilmour
↦ J. Milner
M. Holgate 🔁
↦ J. Harrison
85′
87′
⚽ S. Adingra 0–3
D. Welbeck
89′
🔁 Y. Ayari
↦ K. Mitoma
93′
ℹ️ Yasin Ayari
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
18 A. Young D
6 J. Tarkowski D
5 M. Keane D
19 V. Mykolenko D
42 T. Iroegbunam M
27 I. Gueye M
11 J. Harrison M
16 A. Doucouré M
7 D. McNeil M
9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
Bench (9)
10 I. Ndiaye
14 Beto
4 M. Holgate
45 H. Armstrong
15 J. O'Brien
29 J. Lindstrøm
44 J. Metcalfe
12 João Virgínia
21 N. Maupay

Coach: S. Dyche

Brighton

4-2-3-1
23 J. Steele G
34 J. Veltman D
29 J. van Hecke D
5 L. Dunk D
41 J. Hinshelwood D
6 J. Milner M
27 M. Wieffer M
17 Y. Minteh M
9 João Pedro M
22 K. Mitoma M
18 D. Welbeck F
Bench (9)
24 S. Adingra
4 A. Webster
16 J. Sarmiento
11 B. Gilmour
26 Y. Ayari
20 C. Baleba
51 M. O’Mahony
19 V. Barco
39 C. Rushworth

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,67
🔒
U
3,41
🔒
B ✓
2,68
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,81
🔒
U2,5
2,04
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.