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DFB-Pokal
Referee: M Bacher
Alemannia Aachen
2–3
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

30% Possession 70%
14 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Greifswalder FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 VfR Aalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
22 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -4 0
23 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
24 FC 08 Villingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alemannia Aachen Holstein Kiel
16′
⚽ S. Machino 0–1
F. Porath
1–1 M. Hanraths ⚽
A. Heinz
28′
Lukas Scepanik 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
Mika Timothy Hanraths 🟨
50′
Anton Heinz 🟨
56′
59′
🟨 Finn Porath
2–1 C. Benschop ⚽
N. Winter
60′
65′
🔁 F. Arp
↦ T. Puchacz
71′
🟨 Nicolai Remberg
K. Goden 🔁
↦ L. Scepanik
73′
T. Töpken 🔁
↦ C. Benschop
73′
76′
🔁 M. Knudsen
↦ N. Remberg
76′
🔁 M. Komenda
↦ M. Ivezić
76′
🔁 A. Kelati
↦ F. Porath
79′
🔁 L. Rosenboom
↦ T. Becker
82′
⚽ L. Rosenboom 2–2
F. Heister 🔁
↦ N. Winter
88′
U. Bapoh 🔁
↦ A. Heinz
89′
91′
⚽ L. Rosenboom 2–3
Ulrich Bapoh 🟨
93′
Kevin Goden 🟨
93′
L. Putaro 🔁
↦ B. Baxter
94′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Alemannia Aachen

3-4-3
1 M. Johnen G
15 M. Hanraths D
13 J. Rumpf D
4 F. Meyer D
30 N. Winter M
9 B. Baxter M
18 S. El-Faouzi M
5 S. Strujić M
21 A. Heinz F
35 C. Benschop F
8 L. Scepanik F
Bench (9)
11 K. Goden
24 T. Töpken
19 F. Heister
16 U. Bapoh
14 L. Putaro
20 A. Dervisevic
23 E. Bördner
6 F. Baum
46 G. Gaudino

Coach: H. Backhaus

Holstein Kiel

3-4-1-2
1 T. Weiner G
17 T. Becker D
6 M. Ivezić D
4 P. Erras D
8 F. Porath M
22 N. Remberg M
10 L. Holtby M
27 T. Puchacz M
18 S. Machino F
9 B. Pichler F
11 A. Bernhardsson F
Bench (9)
20 F. Arp
24 M. Knudsen
3 M. Komenda
16 A. Kelati
23 L. Rosenboom
21 T. Dähne
31 M. Engelhardt
15 M. Schulz
14 M. Geschwill

Coach: M. Rapp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.