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Serie B
Referee: F Fourneau
Salernitana
T U T U U
2–1
Full-time
Cittadella
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
15 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 6
23 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Mar -21 Cittadella – Salernitana 0–0 5. Dec -20 Salernitana – Cittadella 1–0 13. Jul -20 Salernitana – Cittadella 4–1 7. Dec -19 Cittadella – Salernitana 4–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,99
🔒
U
3,32
🔒
B
3,83
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,24
🔒
U2,5
1,62
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Fourneau · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.