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Coppa Italia
Referee: K Bonacina
Napoli
U U T U U
0–0
Full-time
Modena
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%
28 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
11 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cesena 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Carrarese 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Mantova 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Avellino 2 1 0 1 -2 3
9 Cremonese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Bari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Monza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Cittadella 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Verona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Catania 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Torres 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Modena
Frank Anguissa 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ G. Raspadori
66′
69′
🔁 F. Abiuso
↦ E. Gliozzi
C. Ngonge 🔁
↦ P. Mazzocchi
73′
M. Olivera 🔁
↦ L. Spinazzola
73′
78′
🔁 C. Cauz
↦ M. Cotali
78′
🔁 K. Bozhanaj
↦ R. Idrissi
W. Cheddira 🔁
↦ M. Politano
86′
1–0 G. Di Lorenzo
121′
122′
A. Palumbo 1–1
W. Cheddira
penalty missed
123′
124′
L. Magnino 1–2
2–2 C. Ngonge
125′
3–2 G. Simeone
126′
127′
T. Battistella
penalty missed
128′
K. Bozhanaj 3–3
4–3 K. Kvaratskhelia
129′
130′
G. Zaro
penalty missed
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Napoli

3-4-2-1
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 A. Rrahmani D
4 A. Buongiorno D
30 P. Mazzocchi M
99 F. Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
37 L. Spinazzola M
21 M. Politano F
77 K. Kvaratskhelia F
81 G. Raspadori F
Bench (13)
18 G. Simeone
26 C. Ngonge
17 M. Olivera
11 W. Cheddira
3 Natan
23 A. Zerbin
16 Rafa Marín
5 Juan Jesus
14 N. Contini
94 F. Mezzoni
78 G. Iaccarino
25 E. Caprile
74 C. Saco

Coach: A. Conte

Modena

4-5-1
26 R. Gagno G
23 M. Caldara D
19 G. Zaro D
4 A. Pergreffi D
29 M. Cotali D
8 S. Santoro M
5 T. Battistella M
27 R. Idrissi M
6 L. Magnino M
10 A. Palumbo M
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (10)
90 F. Abiuso
33 C. Cauz
21 K. Bozhanaj
78 F. Bagheria
42 L. Mondele
2 G. Beyuku
1 J. Sassi
80 O. Niang
24 M. Oliva
7 E. Duca

Coach: P. Bisoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Bonacina · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.