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Süper Lig
Referee: T Doman
Kayserispor
S U T U T
1–2
Full-time
Sivasspor
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,80 xG 1,22
67% Possession 33%
20 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 2 2 0 0 +2 +2.2 6
2 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.7 3
3 Fenerbahce 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.2 3
4 Gaziantep 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.5 3
5 Konyaspor 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.8 3
6 Rizespor 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.3 1
7 Buyuksehyr 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.3 1
8 Alanyaspor 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.5 1
9 Eyüpspor 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.5 1
10 Antalyaspor 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
11 Goztep 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.5 1
12 Sivasspor 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
13 Trabzonspor 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
14 Kasimpasa 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.1 0
15 Hatayspor 1 0 0 1 -1 -3.0 0
16 Ad. Demirspor 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.2 0
17 Bodrumspor 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.5 0
18 Samsunspor 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kayserispor Sivasspor
1–0 Miguel Cardoso ⚽
M. Bourabia
14′
17′
⚽ U. Radaković 1–1
Miguel Cardoso 🟨
21′
36′
🟨 Uğur Çiftçi
Half-time 1–2
50′
⚽ U. Radaković 1–2
A. Pritchard
Aylton Boa Morte 🔁
↦ R. Civelek
62′
S. Bahoken 🔁
↦ Carlos Mané
62′
74′
🟨 Uğur Çiftçi
74′
🟥 Uğur Çiftçi
A. Karimi 🔁
↦ E. Özbek
78′
80′
🔁 J. Biegański
↦ A. Pritchard
80′
🔁 A. Poungouras
↦ E. Başsan
T. Sarıarslan 🔁
↦ M. Bourabia
84′
84′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ E. Başyiğit
87′
🟨 Jan Biegański
96′
🔁 T. Böke
↦ R. Manaj
96′
🔁 Z. Erdal
↦ C. Charisis
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kayserispor

4-2-3-1
25 B. Bayazıt G
11 G. Sazdağı D
3 J. Attamah D
54 A. Kocaman D
23 L. Carole D
10 M. Bourabia M
8 K. Yılmaz M
28 R. Civelek M
16 E. Özbek M
20 Carlos Mané M
7 Miguel Cardoso F
Bench (10)
70 Aylton Boa Morte
13 S. Bahoken
6 A. Karimi
99 T. Sarıarslan
29 O. Shukurov
79 Y. Ackah
1 O. Piri
26 B. Gezek
33 H. Kaldırım
4 D. Kolovetsios

Coach: B. Yılmaz

Sivasspor

5-4-1
35 A. Vural G
7 M. Paluli D
27 N. Sonko Sundberg D
26 U. Radaković D
53 E. Başyiğit D
3 U. Çiftçi D
17 E. Başsan M
8 C. Charisis M
90 A. Turgunboev M
10 A. Pritchard M
9 R. Manaj F
Bench (10)
15 J. Biegański
44 A. Poungouras
14 S. Camara
46 T. Böke
58 Z. Erdal
6 Ö. Yiğiter
88 M. Şeker
13 Đ. Nikolić
21 E. Gökay
66 S. Kaya

Coach: B. Uygun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,30
B ✓
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

T Doman · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.