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Serie B
Referee: F Maresca
Pisa
T S U U T
2–2
Full-time
Sudtirol
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
4,0
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 32%
31%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 61%
69%
53%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 12. · Sudtirol 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 36 21 11 4 +31 74
2 Como 36 21 8 7 +18 71
3 Venezia 36 20 7 9 +23 67
4 Cremonese 36 18 9 9 +15 63
5 Catanzaro 36 17 9 10 +12 60
6 Palermo 36 14 10 12 +8 52
7 Sampdoria 36 14 9 13 +0 51
8 Brescia 36 11 15 10 +3 48
9 Sudtirol 36 12 10 14 -1 46
10 Reggiana 36 10 16 10 -6 46
11 Cosenza 36 11 12 13 +5 45
12 Pisa 36 11 12 13 -2 45
13 Cittadella 36 11 12 13 -4 45
14 Modena 36 9 16 11 -7 43
15 Spezia 36 8 16 12 -14 40
16 Ascoli 36 8 13 15 -5 37
17 Ternana 36 9 10 17 -9 37
18 Bari 36 7 16 13 -13 37
19 FeralpiSalo 36 8 9 19 -19 33
20 Lecco 36 6 8 22 -35 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Sudtirol
27′
🟨 Alessandro Mallamo
Mattia Valoti 🟨
30′
1–0 N. Bonfanti
M. Tramoni
43′
Half-time 1–0
Arturo Calabresi 🟨
52′
53′
S. Molina 1–1
D. Casiraghi
62′
🔁 H. El Kaouakibi
↦ M. Rover
62′
🔁 A. Cisco
↦ D. Casiraghi
68′
R. Odogwu 1–2
I. Touré 🔁
↦ M. Valoti
71′
S. Moreo 🔁
↦ M. Tramoni
71′
L. Tramoni 🔁
↦ M. DAlessandro
72′
2–2 S. Moreo
73′
77′
🔁 S. Merkaj
↦ A. Mallamo
77′
🔁 N. Rauti
↦ D. Peeters
G. Masucci 🔁
↦ A. Arena
78′
Simone Canestrelli 🟨
82′
E. Torregrossa 🔁
↦ N. Bonfanti
86′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Pisa

5-4-1
1 Nícolas G
77 M. D'Alessandro D
33 A. Calabresi D
5 S. Canestrelli D
4 A. Caracciolo D
42 T. Barbieri D
28 A. Arena M
8 M. Marin M
27 M. Valoti M
11 M. Tramoni M
9 N. Bonfanti F
Bench (12)
15 I. Touré
32 S. Moreo
7 L. Tramoni
26 G. Masucci
10 E. Torregrossa
16 M. Sala
36 G. Piccinini
25 F. Coppola
20 P. Beruatto
30 A. De Vitis
22 L. Loria
17 J. Mlakar

Coach: A. Aquilani

Sudtirol

5-4-1
1 G. Poluzzi G
79 S. Molina D
30 A. Giorgini D
55 A. Masiello D
3 A. Cagnano D
18 M. Rover D
8 A. Mallamo M
4 T. Arrigoni M
42 D. Peeters M
17 D. Casiraghi M
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
94 H. El Kaouakibi
26 A. Cisco
33 S. Merkaj
23 N. Rauti
27 J. Kurtič
5 K. Vinetot
28 R. Kofler
12 G. Drago
11 R. Ciervo
9 E. Pecorino
15 J. Broh
77 L. Lonardi

Coach: F. Valente

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
U ✓
3,13
B
4,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.