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Championship
Referee: S Allison
West Brom
S U T S T
0–0
Full-time
Leeds
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
6,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,70 xG 0,70
60% Possession 40%
8 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 4. · Leeds 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +4 +4.4 3
2 Burnley 1 1 0 0 +3 +0.0 3
3 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.0 3
4 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.6 3
5 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.4 3
6 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.8 3
7 Oxford 2 1 0 1 +1 -1.9 3
8 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.9 3
9 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.4 3
10 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
11 Coventry 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.8 3
12 Leeds 1 0 1 0 +0 +2.5 1
13 Portsmouth 1 0 1 0 +0 -2.5 1
14 Hull 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
15 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.4 1
16 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.9 0
17 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.4 0
18 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.0 0
19 QPR 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.6 0
20 Preston 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.4 0
21 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
22 Norwich 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.1 0
23 Luton 1 0 0 1 -3 -0.0 0
24 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 -4 -4.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Leeds
22′
🟨 Jayden Bogle
John Swift 🟨
30′
42′
🟨 Junior Firpo
Half-time 0–0
64′
🔁 B. Aaronson
↦ D. James
64′
🔁 J. Rothwell
↦ J. Piroe
J. Wallace 🔁
↦ K. Ahearne-Grant
75′
79′
🔁 P. Bamford
↦ Mateo Joseph
L. Dobbin 🔁
↦ J. Maja
85′
G. Diangana 🔁
↦ J. Swift
85′
Jayson Molumby 🟨
92′
O. Diakité 🔁
↦ J. Molumby
94′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 A. Palmer G
2 D. Furlong D
6 S. Ajayi D
5 K. Bartley D
14 T. Heggem D
8 J. Molumby M
27 A. Mowatt M
18 K. Ahearne-Grant M
10 J. Swift M
31 T. Fellows M
9 J. Maja F
Bench (9)
7 J. Wallace
19 L. Dobbin
11 G. Diangana
17 O. Diakité
24 G. Frabotta
44 D. Cole
23 J. Wildsmith
15 C. Taylor
21 P. McNair

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Leeds

4-2-3-1
1 I. Meslier G
2 J. Bogle D
6 J. Rodon D
5 P. Struijk D
3 J. Firpo D
4 E. Ampadu M
44 I. Gruev M
7 D. James M
10 J. Piroe M
29 W. Gnonto M
19 Mateo Joseph F
Bench (9)
11 B. Aaronson
8 J. Rothwell
9 P. Bamford
26 K. Darlow
30 J. Gelhardt
50 C. Crew
39 M. Wöber
37 J. Debayo
25 S. Byram

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,39
U ✓
3,45
B
2,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Allison · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.