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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Jagiellonia

S S S T T

2–4

Full-time

Cracovia

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Cracovia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

33%

25%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,24 xG 2,17

75% Possession 25%

23 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 6

11 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

4 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 1. · Cracovia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	3	3	0	0	+5	-1.0	9
2	Piast Gliwice	4	2	2	0	+3	+2.3	8
3	Widzew Lodz	4	2	2	0	+3	-1.0	8
4	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.0	7
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.7	7
6	Legia	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.1	7
7	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.1	7
8	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.5	7
9	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.4	7
10	Puszcza	5	1	2	2	+0	+1.0	5
11	Motor Lublin	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.2	5
12	Zaglebie	4	1	2	1	-1	-2.1	5
13	GKS Katowice	5	1	2	2	-1	-2.1	5
14	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-1	+3.5	3
15	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	2	1	-2	+2.3	2
16	Lechia Gdansk	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2
17	Stal Mielec	4	0	1	3	-4	-0.4	1
18	Korona Kielce	4	0	1	3	-6	-4.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.6	6
2	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.9	6
3	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.8	6
4	Puszcza	3	1	2	0	+3	+2.1	5
5	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.0	4
6	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
7	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
8	Legia	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
9	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
10	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Rakow	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.9	1
13	Cracovia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.1	1
14	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
15	GKS Katowice	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
16	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
17	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.4	0
18	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
2	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
3	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.9	4
4	Motor Lublin	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.7	4
5	Legia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
6	GKS Katowice	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.3	4
7	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
8	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.5	4
9	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
10	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
11	Pogon Szczecin	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
12	Lech Poznan	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
13	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.3	1
14	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.0	1
15	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.6	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.5	1
17	Stal Mielec	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0
18	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.