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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Mechelen
T T S S U
1–3
Full-time
Anderlecht
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,00 xG 2,65
53% Possession 47%
22 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Dender 4 2 2 0 +4 -0.5 8
2 St. Gilloise 4 2 1 1 +2 +2.0 7
3 Antwerp 2 2 0 0 +6 +1.9 6
4 Westerlo 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.7 6
5 Charleroi 4 2 0 2 +2 +1.4 6
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 1 2 0 +2 -1.4 5
7 Anderlecht 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.8 4
8 Standard 2 1 1 0 +1 -2.0 4
9 Genk 3 1 1 1 -1 +3.4 4
10 Gent 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.9 3
11 Club Brugge 2 0 1 1 -1 +1.6 1
12 Beerschot VA 3 0 1 2 -3 -2.4 1
13 St Truiden 4 0 1 3 -9 -3.6 1
14 Kortrijk 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Anderlecht
1–0 L. Lauberbach
23′
B. Bafdili 🔁
↦ L. Lauberbach
33′
36′
🟨 Francis Amuzu
42′
L. Augustinsson 1–1
M. Jørgensen
Half-time 1–1
Toon Raemaekers 🟨
46′
50′
F. Amuzu 1–2
Y. Verschaeren
57′
🔁 N. Angulo
↦ F. Amuzu
64′
🔁 T. Foket
↦ L. Augustinsson
65′
🔁 L. Vázquez
↦ K. Dolberg
J. Ngoy 🔁
↦ José Marsà
76′
G. Hairemans 🔁
↦ J. Van Cleemput
76′
P. Dahl 🔁
↦ N. Storm
77′
78′
🟨 Jan-Carlo Simić
85′
🔁 M. Stroeykens
↦ Y. Verschaeren
90′
T. Leoni 1–3
M. Stroeykens
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

3-4-3
1 O. De Wolf G
2 J. Van Cleemput D
4 T. Raemaekers D
3 José Marsà D
77 P. Pflücke M
32 A. Ouattara M
16 R. Schoofs M
23 D. Foulon M
19 K. Mrabti F
20 L. Lauberbach F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (9)
35 B. Bafdili
9 J. Ngoy
7 G. Hairemans
10 P. Dahl
29 B. Van den Eynden
5 S. Walsh
15 Y. Thoelen
36 E. Yeboah
31 O. Annell

Coach: B. Hasi

Anderlecht

4-3-3
26 C. Coosemans G
54 K. Sardella D
4 J. Šimić D
13 M. Jørgensen D
6 L. Augustinsson D
10 Y. Verschaeren M
23 M. Rits M
17 T. Leoni M
36 A. Dreyer F
12 K. Dolberg F
7 F. Amuzu F
Bench (9)
32 N. Angulo
25 T. Foket
20 L. Vázquez
29 M. Stroeykens
61 K. Arnstad
16 M. Kikkenborg
5 M. N'Diaye
18 M. Ashimeru
73 A. Lapage

Coach: B. Riemer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,28
U
3,61
B ✓
2,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.