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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Ferrol
T S U U T
2–2
Full-time
Malaga
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ferrol Malaga
35′
🟨 Álex Pastor
45′
⚽ Kevin Medina 0–1
R. Baturina
Half-time 0–1
Eneko Jauregi 🔁
↦ Álvaro Giménez
58′
Nacho Sánchez 🔁
↦ Chiki
58′
61′
🟨 Victor Garcia Marin
65′
🔁 Dani Lorenzo
↦ A. Moloney
65′
🔁 Einar Galilea
↦ Álex Pastor
1–1 Eneko Jauregi ⚽
69′
Álex López 🔁
↦ Luis Perea
71′
Moi Delgado 🔁
↦ Josué Dorrio
71′
Francisco De La Manzanara 🟨
73′
75′
🟨 Juanpe
Álvaro Sanz 🔁
↦ Josep Señé
77′
77′
🔁 Antonio Cordero
↦ Kevin Medina
77′
🔁 Julen Lobete
↦ David Larrubia
79′
⚽ Antonio Cordero 1–2
Gabilondo
2–2 Eneko Jauregi ⚽
Fran Manzanara
82′
83′
🔁 Izan Merino
↦ Juanpe
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ferrol

4-3-3
25 Jesús Ruiz G
22 Aitor Buñuel D
4 A. Puric D
5 Naldo D
18 Brais Martínez D
24 Luis Perea M
16 Fran Manzanara M
10 Josep Señé M
17 Josué Dorrio F
20 Álvaro Giménez F
7 Chiki F
Bench (10)
9 Eneko Jauregi
11 Nacho Sánchez
8 Álex López
21 Moi Delgado
6 Álvaro Sanz
1 Emilio Bernad
14 Aitor Gelardo
2 Julián Delmás
13 Yoel Rodríguez
26 David Carballo

Coach: Cristóbal

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
2 Gabilondo D
20 Nélson Monte D
5 Álex Pastor D
14 Víctor García D
10 David Larrubia M
8 Juanpe M
12 Manu Molina M
11 Kevin Medina M
35 A. Moloney F
9 R. Baturina F
Bench (12)
22 Dani Lorenzo
4 Einar Galilea
26 Antonio Cordero
24 Julen Lobete
29 Izan Merino
3 Puga
23 Sangalli
27 Chupe
17 Dioni
13 Carlos López
16 Diego Murillo
18 Dani Sánchez

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
🔒
U ✓
2,99
🔒
B
3,38
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,53
🔒
U2,5
1,49
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.